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轻便摩托车、滑板车和摩托车碰撞风险和严重程度的比较。

Comparison of moped, scooter and motorcycle crash risk and crash severity.

机构信息

Centre for Accident Research and Road Safety - Queensland (CARRS-Q), Queensland University of Technology, 130 Victoria Park Road, Kelvin Grove, 4059 Brisbane, Australia.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2013 Aug;57:1-9. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2013.03.026. Epub 2013 Apr 6.

Abstract

The increased popularity of mopeds and motor scooters in Australia and elsewhere in the last decade has contributed substantially to the greater use of powered two-wheelers (PTWs) as a whole. As the exposure of mopeds and scooters has increased, so too has the number of reported crashes involving those PTW types, but there is currently little research comparing the safety of mopeds and, particularly, larger scooters with motorcycles. This study compared the crash risk and crash severity of motorcycles, mopeds and larger scooters in Queensland, Australia. Comprehensive data cleansing was undertaken to separate motorcycles, mopeds and larger scooters in police-reported crash data covering the five years to 30 June 2008. The crash rates of motorcycles (including larger scooters) and mopeds in terms of registered vehicles were similar over this period, although the moped crash rate showed a stronger downward trend. However, the crash rates in terms of distance travelled were nearly four times higher for mopeds than for motorcycles (including larger scooters). More comprehensive distance travelled data is needed to confirm these findings. The overall severity of moped and scooter crashes was significantly lower than motorcycle crashes but an ordered probit regression model showed that crash severity outcomes related to differences in crash characteristics and circumstances, rather than differences between PTW types per se. Greater motorcycle crash severity was associated with higher (>80km/h) speed zones, horizontal curves, weekend, single vehicle and nighttime crashes. Moped crashes were more severe at night and in speed zones of 90km/h or more. Larger scooter crashes were more severe in 70km/h zones (than 60km/h zones) but not in higher speed zones, and less severe on weekends than on weekdays. The findings can be used to inform potential crash and injury countermeasures tailored to users of different PTW types.

摘要

在过去十年中,澳大利亚和其他地区轻便摩托车和小型摩托车的普及程度大幅提高,这使得人们更多地使用两轮助力车(PTW)。随着轻便摩托车和小型摩托车的曝光率增加,涉及这些 PTW 类型的事故报告数量也有所增加,但目前几乎没有研究比较轻便摩托车,特别是更大的小型摩托车与摩托车的安全性。本研究比较了澳大利亚昆士兰州摩托车、轻便摩托车和更大的小型摩托车的碰撞风险和严重程度。在涵盖 2008 年 6 月 30 日之前五年的警方报告的碰撞数据中,进行了全面的数据清理,以区分摩托车、轻便摩托车和更大的小型摩托车。在这段时间内,摩托车(包括更大的小型摩托车)和轻便摩托车的注册车辆碰撞率相似,尽管轻便摩托车的碰撞率显示出更强的下降趋势。然而,就行驶距离而言,轻便摩托车的碰撞率几乎是摩托车(包括更大的小型摩托车)的四倍。需要更全面的行驶距离数据来证实这些发现。轻便摩托车和小型摩托车碰撞的总体严重程度明显低于摩托车碰撞,但有序概率回归模型显示,碰撞严重程度的结果与碰撞特征和情况的差异有关,而不是与 PTW 类型本身的差异有关。更大的摩托车碰撞严重程度与更高(>80km/h)速度区、水平曲线、周末、单一车辆和夜间碰撞有关。夜间和速度区为 90km/h 或更高的轻便摩托车碰撞更严重。更大的小型摩托车碰撞在 70km/h 区(而不是 60km/h 区)更严重,但在更高的速度区不严重,周末比工作日不严重。这些发现可用于为不同的 PTW 类型的使用者提供潜在的碰撞和伤害预防措施。

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