Departments of Psychiatry and Biostatistics, Division of Biostatistics, New York State Psychiatric Institute, Columbia University, New York City 10032, USA.
Psychiatr Serv. 2013 Aug 1;64(8):754-63. doi: 10.1176/appi.ps.002912012.
Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) may have limited generalizability for the community when a high proportion of individuals refuse randomization or otherwise do not participate-a not uncommon phenomenon. A randomized waitlist-control trial of the Family-to-Family (FTF) education program, a 12-week course offered by the National Alliance on Mental Illness for family members of adults with mental illness, was previously reported. This study assessed whether the RCT-derived estimates of effectiveness of FTF were generalizable to individuals who participated in FTF but declined participation in the RCT.
Propensity score matching was used to create five quintiles, each containing scores for individuals in FTF or waitlist conditions and for decliners; scores were matched on multiple baseline characteristics (N=442) within each quintile. Effectiveness estimates, with standard errors, were derived for the decliner population on the basis of effectiveness estimates derived from participants in the RCT; estimates were weighted to the baseline distribution of quintiles for the decliners.
For each outcome, estimates of the effect sizes observed in the RCT were very similar to the effect sizes observed for the decliner population; confidence intervals also had a high degree of overlap.
This study suggests that the benefits of FTF observed in the RCT are generalizable to the group of individuals who declined RCT participation, providing further evidence of FTF's effectiveness. Propensity score matching was a useful statistical tool for addressing selection bias resulting from high rates of nonconsent in randomized waitlist-control trials.
当大量个体拒绝随机化或不参与研究时,随机对照试验(RCT)可能对社区的推广应用具有局限性,这种现象并不罕见。此前报道了一项针对家庭到家庭(FTF)教育计划的随机等待对照试验,该计划是美国国家精神疾病联盟为成年精神病患者的家属提供的为期 12 周的课程。本研究评估了 RCT 中得出的 FTF 有效性估计值是否适用于参与 FTF 但拒绝参加 RCT 的个体。
使用倾向评分匹配创建五个五分位数,每个五分位数包含 FTF 或等待组以及拒绝者的分数;在每个五分位数内,通过多项基线特征(N=442)对分数进行匹配。根据 RCT 参与者得出的有效性估计值,为拒绝者人群得出有效性估计值及其标准误差;根据拒绝者五分位数的基线分布对估计值进行加权。
对于每个结果,RCT 中观察到的效应大小的估计值与拒绝者人群中观察到的效应大小非常相似;置信区间也有很高的重叠度。
本研究表明,RCT 中观察到的 FTF 的益处适用于拒绝参加 RCT 的个体群体,进一步证明了 FTF 的有效性。倾向评分匹配是解决随机等待对照试验中高不依从率导致选择偏差的有效统计工具。