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应用零模型和偏最小二乘路径建模法(PLS-PM)研究影响室内养猪场断奶后死亡率的风险因素。

The use of null models and partial least squares approach path modelling (PLS-PM) for investigating risk factors influencing post-weaning mortality in indoor pig farms.

机构信息

Servei d´Ecopatologia de Fauna Salvatge (SEFaS), Departament de Medicina i Cirurgia Animals, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.

Centre de Recerca en Sanitat Animal (CReSA), UAB-IRTA, Campus de la Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Bellaterra, Spain.

出版信息

Epidemiol Infect. 2014 Mar;142(3):530-9. doi: 10.1017/S0950268813001295. Epub 2013 Jun 3.

Abstract

Although post-weaning mortality (PWM) in pig farming is mainly due to the effect of pathogens, farm type or swine management are also directly or indirectly involved. In this work, we used null models and the partial least squares approach (PLS) to structural equation modelling, also known as PLS path modelling (PLS-PM), to explore whether farm type, swine management and pathogens, including porcine circovirus type 2, swine influenza virus, porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus and Aujeszky's disease virus, directly or indirectly influenced PWM in 42 Spanish indoor pig farms. The null model analysis revealed that contact with multiple combinations of viruses could occur by chance. On the other hand, PLS-PM showed that farm characteristics do not influence virus infections, and thus neither farm type nor associated management practices shaped PWM due to pathogens. Accordingly, preventive programmes aimed at controlling PWM in intensive farming should prioritize the control of major pig pathogens.

摘要

尽管养猪场断奶后死亡率(PWM)主要是病原体作用的结果,但养殖场类型或生猪管理也直接或间接地与之相关。在这项工作中,我们使用零模型和偏最小二乘法(PLS)对结构方程模型(也称为 PLS 路径模型(PLS-PM))进行了分析,以探究养殖场类型、生猪管理以及包括猪圆环病毒 2 型、猪流感病毒、猪繁殖与呼吸综合征病毒和猪疱疹病毒在内的病原体是否直接或间接影响了 42 家西班牙室内养猪场的 PWM。零模型分析表明,多种病毒组合的接触可能是偶然发生的。另一方面,PLS-PM 表明,养殖场特征不会影响病毒感染,因此,无论是养殖场类型还是与之相关的管理措施,都不会因病原体而影响 PWM。因此,旨在控制集约化养殖中 PWM 的预防方案应优先考虑控制主要的猪病原体。

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