Broughton Heather, Crews Arielle, Lilly Marie, Sambado Samantha, Salomon Jordan, Lawrence Alexandra, Ring Kacie, Clark Jacoby, Shaw Grace, Summers Shannon, Nakano Angie, Swei Andrea
Department of Biology, San Francisco State University, 1600 Holloway Ave., San Francisco, CA 94132, USA.
Institute for Integrative Conservation, College of William and Mary, 111 Jamestown Rd., Williamsburg, VA 23185, USA.
Sci Adv. 2025 Jul 18;11(29):eads2181. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.ads2181.
Climate change continues to alter the behavior and distribution of species worldwide, with major ramifications for the transmission and risk of infectious diseases, including those caused by zoonotic vector-borne pathogens. This study explores the potential implications of climate change for one such pathogen, (the causative agent of human Lyme disease), in ticks of the far-western United States. Nymphal tick infection prevalence and density are compared against several metrics for climate, while also accounting for habitat fragmentation, mammalian species richness, and rodent tick burden to eliminate confounding variables. Findings show that climate extremes, such as those forecast with climate change, correlate with a reduction in prevalence in nymphal ticks despite nominal impacts on uninfected tick density, contrasting traditional hypotheses that these changes will increase vector-borne pathogens.
气候变化持续改变着全球物种的行为和分布,对包括人畜共患媒介传播病原体所致疾病在内的传染病传播及风险产生重大影响。本研究探讨了气候变化对美国最西部地区蜱虫体内的一种此类病原体(人类莱姆病病原体)的潜在影响。将若蜱感染率和密度与多种气候指标进行比较,同时考虑栖息地破碎化、哺乳动物物种丰富度和啮齿动物蜱虫负担,以消除混杂变量。研究结果表明,尽管对未感染蜱虫的密度影响不大,但气候变化预测的极端气候与若蜱体内该病原体感染率的降低相关,这与传统假设中这些变化会增加媒介传播病原体的观点形成对比。