Center for Advanced Dental Education, Saint Louis University, St Louis, MO, USA.
Am J Orthod Dentofacial Orthop. 2013 Jun;143(6):845-54. doi: 10.1016/j.ajodo.2013.01.019.
Sequential stages in the development of the hand, wrist, and cervical vertebrae commonly are used to assess maturation and predict the timing of the adolescent growth spurt. This approach is predicated on the idea that forecasts based on skeletal age must, of necessity, be superior to those based on chronologic age. This study was undertaken to test this reasonable, albeit largely unproved, assumption in a large, longitudinal sample.
Serial records of 100 children (50 girls, 50 boys) were chosen from the files of the Bolton-Brush Growth Study Center in Cleveland, Ohio. The 100 series were 6 to 11 years in length, a span that was designed to encompass the onset and the peak of the adolescent facial growth spurt in each subject. Five linear cephalometric measurements (S-Na, Na-Me, PNS-A, S-Go, Go-Pog) were summed to characterize general facial size; a sixth (Co-Gn) was used to assess mandibular length. In all, 864 cephalograms were traced and analyzed. For most years, chronologic age, height, and hand-wrist films were available, thereby permitting various alternative methods of maturational assessment and prediction to be tested. The hand-wrist and the cervical vertebrae films for each time point were staged. Yearly increments of growth for stature, face, and mandible were calculated and plotted against chronologic age. For each subject, the actual age at onset and peak for stature and facial and mandibular size served as the gold standards against which key ages inferred from other methods could be compared.
On average, the onset of the pubertal growth spurts in height, facial size, and mandibular length occurred in girls at 9.3, 9.8, and 9.5 years, respectively. The difference in timing between height and facial size growth spurts was statistically significant. In boys, the onset for height, facial size, and mandibular length occurred more or less simultaneously at 11.9, 12.0, and 11.9 years, respectively. In girls, the peak of the growth spurt in height, facial size, and mandibular length occurred at 10.9, 11.5, and 11.5 years. Height peaked significantly earlier than both facial size and mandibular length. In boys, the peak in height occurred slightly (but statistically significantly) earlier than did the peaks in the face and mandible: 14.0, 14.4, and 14.3 years. Based on rankings, the hand-wrist stages provided the best indication (lowest root mean squared error) that maturation had advanced to the peak velocity stage. Chronologic age, however, was nearly as good, whereas the vertebral stages were consistently the worst. Errors from the use of statural onset to predict the peak of the pubertal growth spurt in height, facial size, and mandibular length were uniformly lower than for predictions based on the cervical vertebrae. Chronologic age, especially in boys, was a close second.
The common assumption that onset and peak occur at ages 12 and 14 years in boys and 10 and 12 years in girls seems correct for boys, but it is 6 months to 1 year late for girls. As an index of maturation, hand-wrist skeletal ages appear to offer the best indication that peak growth velocity has been reached. Of the methods tested here for the prediction of the timing of peak velocity, statural onset had the lowest errors. Although mean chronologic ages were nearly as good, stature can be measured repeatedly and thus might lead to improved prediction of the timing of the adolescent growth spurt.
手部、腕部和颈椎的发育顺序通常用于评估成熟度并预测青少年生长突增的时间。这种方法的前提是,基于骨骼年龄的预测必须优于基于实际年龄的预测。本研究旨在通过大量的纵向样本检验这一合理但尚未得到充分证明的假设。
从俄亥俄州克利夫兰市 Bolton-Brush 生长研究中心的档案中选择了 100 名儿童(50 名女孩,50 名男孩)的连续记录。这 100 个系列的长度为 6 到 11 年,跨度旨在涵盖每个受试者的青少年面部生长突增的开始和高峰期。五项线性头颅测量(S-Na、Na-Me、PNS-A、S-Go、Go-Pog)被汇总以描述整体面部大小;第六项(Co-Gn)用于评估下颌长度。总共追踪和分析了 864 张头颅侧位片。对于大多数年份,都有实际年龄、身高和手-腕骨片,从而可以测试各种替代的成熟度评估和预测方法。每个时间点的手-腕骨片和颈椎片都进行了分期。每年的身高、面部和下颌生长增量都被计算出来,并与实际年龄作图。对于每个受试者,身高、面部和下颌大小的实际起始年龄和峰值年龄是黄金标准,可与其他方法推断的关键年龄进行比较。
平均而言,女孩的青春期生长突增在身高、面部大小和下颌长度方面分别在 9.3、9.8 和 9.5 岁开始。身高和面部大小生长突增之间的时间差异具有统计学意义。在男孩中,身高、面部大小和下颌长度的生长突增几乎同时在 11.9、12.0 和 11.9 岁开始。在女孩中,身高、面部大小和下颌长度的生长突增峰值分别在 10.9、11.5 和 11.5 岁。身高的峰值明显早于面部大小和下颌长度的峰值。在男孩中,身高的峰值略早(但具有统计学意义)于面部和下颌的峰值:14.0、14.4 和 14.3 岁。基于排名,手-腕骨片分期提供了最好的指示(最低均方根误差),表明成熟度已进入峰值速度阶段。然而,实际年龄几乎同样好,而椎体分期始终最差。使用身高起始来预测身高、面部大小和下颌长度的青春期生长突增峰值的误差比基于颈椎的预测误差要小。实际年龄,尤其是在男孩中,是非常接近的第二选择。
在男孩中,12 岁和 14 岁开始和达到高峰,女孩中 10 岁和 12 岁开始和达到高峰的常见假设似乎适用于男孩,但对于女孩来说,这个时间要晚 6 个月到 1 年。作为成熟度的指标,手-腕部骨骼年龄似乎最能表明已达到生长速度的峰值。在本研究中测试的用于预测峰值速度时间的方法中,身高起始的误差最低。虽然平均实际年龄也非常接近,但身高可以多次测量,因此可能会提高对青少年生长突增时间的预测。