Hill Catherine
Institut Gustave-Roussy, Villejuif, France.
Bull Cancer. 2013 Jun;100(6):547-54. doi: 10.1684/bdc.2013.1770.
We show that cancer mortality is decreasing with time for most sites of cancer, the most notable exception being lung cancer in women. Cancer incidence is a misleading indicator because it can depend on diagnostic procedures, as observed with prostate cancer in men and breast or thyroid cancer in women. Overall these data contradict the alarming information that cancer is on the increase, which is widespread by the media and some health professionals. To be efficient in the prevention of cancer one needs to identify its causes and measure their relative importance. The major causes of cancer in France today are tobacco and alcohol. The variations of the price of tobacco and their effects on sales show the importance of the taxation policy. Cancer screening is practised in a way defying logic : a screening procedure with a demonstrated high efficacy is not part of a national programme whereas a useless and even potentially harmful procedure is very widely used.
我们表明,大多数癌症部位的癌症死亡率随时间推移正在下降,最显著的例外是女性肺癌。癌症发病率是一个具有误导性的指标,因为它可能取决于诊断程序,正如在男性前列腺癌以及女性乳腺癌或甲状腺癌中所观察到的那样。总体而言,这些数据与媒体和一些健康专家广泛传播的癌症正在增加这一令人担忧的信息相矛盾。为了有效地预防癌症,需要确定其病因并衡量它们的相对重要性。如今法国癌症的主要病因是烟草和酒精。烟草价格的变化及其对销售的影响表明了税收政策的重要性。癌症筛查的实施方式违背逻辑:一种已证明具有高效能的筛查程序并非国家计划的一部分,而一种无用甚至可能有害的程序却被广泛使用。