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2010年巴基斯坦洪灾之后的家庭经济与粮食安全

Household economic and food security after the 2010 Pakistan floods.

作者信息

Doocy Shannon, Leidman Eva, Aung Tricia, Kirsch Thomas

机构信息

Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, 615 North Wolfe Street, Ste E8132, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA.

出版信息

Food Nutr Bull. 2013 Mar;34(1):95-103. doi: 10.1177/156482651303400110.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The 2010 floods inundated one-fifth of Pakistan and affected more than 20 million people.

OBJECTIVE

To characterize the impact of the floods and subsequent humanitarian response on household economy and food security.

METHODS

A cross-sectional 80 x 20 cluster survey (n = 1,569 households) was conducted using probability proportional to size sampling in the four most flood-affected provinces 6 months after the floods. Analysis included both descriptive statistics and regression models, with receipt of food aid (in the first month), dietary quality, and household income at 6 months postflood as outcomes.

RESULTS

Need for food aid was nearly ubiquitous (98.9%); however, only half of the study population ever received food aid. Displacement was not a significant predictor of food aid receipt (OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 0.83 to 1.98); however urban location (OR, 2.78; 95% CI, 2.00 to 3.86) and damage to the home (OR, 2.73; 95% CI, 1.34 to 5.60) were significantly associated. Some of the hardest-hit groups, including both farmers and day laborers, were significantly less likely to receive food aid (p < .05). Additionally, receipt of food aid was not necessarily associated with improved household economy or food security; although households in internally displaced people (IDP) camps were more likely to receive food aid (OR, 2.78; 95% CI, 2.00 to 3.86), they were less likely to report same or improved dietary quality (OR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.46 to 0.88) or income status (OR, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.35 to 0.86).

CONCLUSIONS

Food aid coverage following the 2010 floods was relatively low, and many of the most affected populations were less likely to receive aid, suggesting that targeting should be improved in future responses.

摘要

背景

2010年的洪水淹没了巴基斯坦五分之一的地区,影响了超过2000万人。

目的

描述洪水及随后的人道主义救援对家庭经济和粮食安全的影响。

方法

洪水发生6个月后,在受灾最严重的四个省份采用与规模成比例的概率抽样方法进行了一项80×20的整群横断面调查(n = 1569户)。分析包括描述性统计和回归模型,以洪水后第一个月获得的粮食援助、饮食质量和洪水后6个月的家庭收入作为结果。

结果

对粮食援助的需求几乎普遍存在(98.9%);然而,只有一半的研究人群曾获得过粮食援助。流离失所不是获得粮食援助的显著预测因素(比值比[OR],1.28;95%置信区间[CI],0.83至1.98);然而,城市地区(OR,2.78;95%CI,2.00至3.86)和房屋受损(OR,2.73;95%CI,1.34至5.60)与之显著相关。一些受灾最严重的群体,包括农民和日工,获得粮食援助的可能性显著较低(p < 0.05)。此外,获得粮食援助不一定与家庭经济或粮食安全状况改善相关;尽管境内流离失所者(IDP)营地的家庭更有可能获得粮食援助(OR,2.78;95%CI,2.00至3.86),但他们报告饮食质量相同或改善(OR,0.63;95%CI,0.46至0.88)或收入状况(OR,0.55;95%CI,0.35至0.86)的可能性较小。

结论

2010年洪水后的粮食援助覆盖范围相对较低,许多受灾最严重的人群获得援助的可能性较小,这表明在未来的应对中应改进援助目标定位。

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