Saint Luke's Mid America Heart Institute, Kansas City, Missouri; University of Missouri, Kansas City, Missouri 64111, USA.
J Am Coll Cardiol. 2013 Aug 13;62(7):601-9. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2013.05.051. Epub 2013 Jun 13.
The purpose of this study is to develop a method for risk-standardizing hospital survival after cardiac arrest.
A foundation with which hospitals can improve quality is to be able to benchmark their risk-adjusted performance against other hospitals, something that cannot currently be done for survival after in-hospital cardiac arrest.
Within the Get With The Guidelines (GWTG)-Resuscitation registry, we identified 48,841 patients admitted between 2007 and 2010 with an in-hospital cardiac arrest. Using hierarchical logistic regression, we derived and validated a model for survival to hospital discharge and calculated risk-standardized survival rates (RSSRs) for 272 hospitals with at least 10 cardiac arrest cases.
The survival rate was 21.0% and 21.2% for the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. The model had good discrimination (C-statistic 0.74) and excellent calibration. Eighteen variables were associated with survival to discharge, and a parsimonious model contained 9 variables with minimal change in model discrimination. Before risk adjustment, the median hospital survival rate was 20% (interquartile range: 14% to 26%), with a wide range (0% to 85%). After adjustment, the distribution of RSSRs was substantially narrower: median of 21% (interquartile range: 19% to 23%; range 11% to 35%). More than half (143 [52.6%]) of hospitals had at least a 10% positive or negative absolute change in percentile rank after risk standardization, and 50 (23.2%) had a ≥20% absolute change in percentile rank.
We have derived and validated a model to risk-standardize hospital rates of survival for in-hospital cardiac arrest. Use of this model can support efforts to compare hospitals in resuscitation outcomes as a foundation for quality assessment and improvement.
本研究旨在开发一种用于校正心脏骤停后医院生存率风险的方法。
医院提高质量的基础是能够将其风险调整后的表现与其他医院进行基准比较,但目前无法对院内心脏骤停后患者的生存率进行比较。
我们在 Get With The Guidelines(GWTG)-Resuscitation 注册中心中,确定了 2007 年至 2010 年间入院的 48841 例院内心脏骤停患者。使用分层逻辑回归,我们推导并验证了一个用于出院生存率的模型,并计算了至少有 10 例心脏骤停病例的 272 家医院的风险标准化生存率(RSSR)。
推导队列和验证队列的生存率分别为 21.0%和 21.2%。该模型具有良好的判别能力(C 统计量 0.74)和极好的校准度。有 18 个变量与出院生存率相关,一个简约模型包含 9 个变量,对模型判别力的变化最小。在风险调整之前,中位数医院生存率为 20%(四分位间距:14%至 26%),范围很广(0%至 85%)。调整后,RSSR 的分布范围明显变窄:中位数为 21%(四分位间距:19%至 23%;范围 11%至 35%)。超过一半(143[52.6%])的医院在风险标准化后,其百分位排名至少有 10%的正或负绝对变化,50 家(23.2%)的百分位排名变化超过 20%。
我们已经推导和验证了一种用于校正院内心脏骤停后医院生存率风险的模型。该模型的使用可以支持对复苏结果进行医院比较的努力,作为质量评估和改进的基础。