Petrosino Anthony, Turpin-Petrosino Carolyn, Hollis-Peel Meghan E, Lavenberg Julia G
Learning Innovations, WestEd, Woburn, Massachusetts, USA. anthonychar "A8penalty z@
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2013 Apr 30;2013(4):CD002796. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD002796.pub2.
'Scared Straight' and other similar programs involve organized visits to prison by juvenile delinquents or children at risk for criminal behavior. Programs are designed to deter participants from future offending through first hand observation of prison life and interaction with adult inmates. These programs remain in use despite research questioning their effectiveness. This is an update of a 2002 review.
To assess the effects of programs comprising organized visits to prisons by juvenile delinquents (officially adjudicated, that is, convicted by a juvenile court) or pre-delinquents (children in trouble but not officially adjudicated as delinquents), aimed at deterring them from delinquency.
To update this review, we searched 22 electronic databases, including CENTRAL, MEDLINE, PsycINFO, and Criminal Justice Abstracts, in December 2011. In addition, we searched clinical trials registries, consulted experts, conducted Google Scholar searches,and followed up on all relevant citations.
We included studies that tested programs involving the organized visits of delinquents or children at risk for delinquency to penal institutions such as prisons or re formatives. Studies that had overlapping samples of juvenile and young adults (for example, ages 14 to 20 years) were included. We only considered studies that assigned participants to conditions randomly or quasi-randomly (that is,by odd/even assignment to conditions). Each study had to have a no-treatment control condition and at least one outcome measure of 'post-visit' criminal behavior.
The search methods for the original review generated 487 citations, most of which had abstracts. The lead review author screened these citations, determining that 30 were evaluation reports. Two review authors independently examined these citations and agreed that 11 were potential randomized trials. All reports were obtained. Upon inspection of the full-text reports, two review authors independently agreed to exclude two studies, resulting in nine randomized trials. The lead review author extracted data from each of the nine study reports using a specially designed instrument. In cases in which outcome information was missing from the original reports, we made attempts via correspondence to retrieve the data for the analysis from the original investigators. Outcome data were independently checked by a second review author (CTP).In this review, we report the results of each of the nine trials narratively.We conducted two meta-analyses of seven studies that provided post intervention offending rates using official data. Information from other sources (for example, self-report) was either missing from some studies or critical information was omitted (for example, standard deviations).We examined the immediate post-treatment effects(that is, 'first-effects') by computing odds ratios (OR) for data on proportions of each group re offending, and assumed both fixed-effect and random-effects models in our analyses.
We have included nine studies in this review. All were part of the original systematic review; no new trials meeting eligibility criteria were identified through our updated searches. The studies were conducted in eight different states of the USA, during the years 1967 to 1992. Nearly 1000 (946) juveniles or young adults of different races participated, almost all males. The average age of the participants in each study ranged from 15 to 17 years.Meta-analyses of seven studies show the intervention to be more harmful than doing nothing. The OR (fixed-effect) for effects on first post-treatment effect on officially measured criminal behavior indicated a negative program effect (OR 1.68, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.20 to 2.36) and nearly identical regardless of the meta-analytic strategy (random-effectsOR 1.72, 95%CI 1.13 to 2.62).Sensitivity analyses (random-effects) showed the findings were robust even when removing one study with an inadequate randomization strategy (OR 1.47, 95% CI 1.03 to 2.11), or when removing one study with high attrition (OR 1.96, 95% CI 1.25 to 3.08), or both(OR 1.68, 95% CI 1.10 to 2.58).
AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that programs such as 'cared Straight' increase delinquency relative to doing nothing at all to similar youths. Given these results, we cannot recommend this program as a crime prevention strategy. Agencies that permit such programs, therefore, must rigorously evaluate them, to ensure that they do not cause more harm than good to the very citizens they pledge to protect.
“震慑教育”及其他类似项目包括组织少年犯或有犯罪行为风险的儿童参观监狱。这些项目旨在通过让参与者亲身观察监狱生活并与成年囚犯互动,来阻止他们未来犯罪。尽管有研究质疑这些项目的有效性,但它们仍在使用。这是对2002年一篇综述的更新。
评估由少年犯(经正式裁决,即被少年法庭定罪)或准少年犯(有问题但未被正式裁定为少年犯的儿童)参观监狱的有组织项目的效果,旨在阻止他们犯罪。
为更新本综述,我们于2011年12月检索了22个电子数据库,包括Cochrane系统评价数据库、医学索引数据库、心理学文摘数据库和刑事司法文摘数据库。此外,我们检索了临床试验注册库,咨询了专家,进行了谷歌学术搜索,并追踪了所有相关引文。
我们纳入了测试涉及少年犯或有犯罪风险的儿童参观监狱或教养所等刑罚机构的项目的研究。纳入了少年和青年(如14至20岁)样本重叠的研究。我们仅考虑将参与者随机或准随机(即通过奇偶分配)分组的研究。每项研究都必须有一个无治疗对照条件和至少一项“参观后”犯罪行为的结果测量指标。
原始综述的检索方法共产生487条引文,其中大部分有摘要。综述的主要作者筛选了这些引文,确定30篇为评估报告。两位综述作者独立检查了这些引文,一致认为11篇可能是随机试验。获取了所有报告。在检查全文报告时,两位综述作者独立同意排除两项研究,最终得到九项随机试验。综述的主要作者使用专门设计的工具从九项研究报告中提取数据。如果原始报告中缺少结果信息,我们通过通信尝试从原始研究者处获取数据进行分析。结果数据由第二位综述作者(CTP)独立检查。在本综述中,我们以叙述方式报告了九项试验中的每一项结果。我们对七项使用官方数据提供干预后犯罪率的研究进行了两项荟萃分析。来自其他来源(如自我报告)的信息在一些研究中缺失,或者关键信息被遗漏(如标准差)。我们通过计算每组再犯罪比例数据的比值比(OR)来检查治疗后的即时效果(即“首次效果”),并在分析中采用固定效应模型和随机效应模型。
我们在本综述中纳入了九项研究。所有研究都是原始系统评价的一部分;通过更新检索未发现符合纳入标准的新试验。这些研究于1967年至1992年期间在美国的八个不同州进行。近1000名(946名)不同种族的少年或青年参与,几乎全是男性。每项研究中参与者的平均年龄在15至17岁之间。对七项研究的荟萃分析表明,该干预措施比不采取任何措施更有害。对官方测量的犯罪行为的首次治疗后效果的OR(固定效应)表明该项目有负面效果(OR 1.68,95%置信区间(CI)1.20至2.36),无论荟萃分析策略如何(随机效应OR 1.72,95%CI 1.13至2.62),结果几乎相同。敏感性分析(随机效应)表明,即使剔除一项随机化策略不完善的研究(OR 1.47,95%CI 1.03至2.11),或剔除一项失访率高的研究(OR 1.96,95%CI 1.25至3.08),或两项都剔除(OR 1.68,95%CI 1.10至2.58),结果仍然稳健。
我们得出结论,与对类似青年不采取任何措施相比,“震慑教育”等项目会增加犯罪率。鉴于这些结果,我们不能推荐该项目作为预防犯罪的策略。因此,允许此类项目的机构必须对其进行严格评估,以确保它们对其承诺保护的公民不会造成弊大于利的影响。