School of Life Sciences and Center for Social Dynamics and Complexity, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287, USA.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2013 Aug 20;110(34):13769-73. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1304917110. Epub 2013 Jul 29.
"Collective intelligence" and "wisdom of crowds" refer to situations in which groups achieve more accurate perception and better decisions than solitary agents. Whether groups outperform individuals should depend on the kind of task and its difficulty, but the nature of this relationship remains unknown. Here we show that colonies of Temnothorax ants outperform individuals for a difficult perception task but that individuals do better than groups when the task is easy. Subjects were required to choose the better of two nest sites as the quality difference was varied. For small differences, colonies were more likely than isolated ants to choose the better site, but this relationship was reversed for large differences. We explain these results using a mathematical model, which shows that positive feedback between group members effectively integrates information and sharpens the discrimination of fine differences. When the task is easier the same positive feedback can lock the colony into a suboptimal choice. These results suggest the conditions under which crowds do or do not become wise.
“集体智慧”和“群众的智慧”是指群体在感知和决策方面比单个个体更准确的情况。群体是否优于个体应该取决于任务的类型和难度,但这种关系的本质尚不清楚。在这里,我们表明,在一项困难的感知任务中,Temnothorax 蚂蚁的群体表现优于个体,但在任务简单时,个体的表现优于群体。要求主体在两个巢穴之间选择更好的一个,同时质量差异也在变化。对于较小的差异,群体比孤立的蚂蚁更有可能选择更好的地点,但对于较大的差异,这种关系则相反。我们使用一个数学模型来解释这些结果,该模型表明,群体成员之间的正反馈有效地整合了信息,并使细微差异的辨别更加敏锐。当任务变得更容易时,同样的正反馈会使群体陷入次优选择。这些结果表明了在什么条件下群体是明智的或不明智的。