Laboratoire de physique de l'atmosphère et de l'océan Siméon-Fongang, École supérieure polytechnique de l'université Cheikh-Anta-Diop (UCAD), Dakar-Fann, Dakar, Senegal.
C R Biol. 2013 May-Jun;336(5-6):253-60. doi: 10.1016/j.crvi.2013.04.001. Epub 2013 Jun 14.
The aim of this work, undertaken in the framework of QWeCI (Quantifying Weather and Climate Impacts on health in the developing countries) project, is to study how climate variability could influence malaria seasonal incidence. It will also assess the evolution of vector-borne diseases such as malaria by simulation analysis of climate models according to various climate scenarios for the next years. Climate variability seems to be determinant for the risk of malaria development (Freeman and Bradley, 1996 [1], Lindsay and Birley, 1996 [2], Kuhn et al., 2005 [3]). Climate can impact on the epidemiology of malaria by several mechanisms, directly, via the development rates and survival of both pathogens and vectors, and indirectly, through changes in vegetation and land surface characteristics such as the variability of breeding sites like ponds.
这项工作是在 QWeCI（定量评估发展中国家天气和气候对健康的影响）项目的框架内进行的，旨在研究气候变异性如何影响疟疾的季节性发病。它还将根据未来几年的各种气候情景，通过对气候模型的模拟分析，评估蚊媒疾病（如疟疾）的演变情况。气候变异性似乎是疟疾发病风险的决定因素（Freeman 和 Bradley，1996 [1]，Lindsay 和 Birley，1996 [2]，Kuhn 等人，2005 [3]）。气候可以通过多种机制影响疟疾的流行病学，直接通过病原体和病媒的发育率和存活率，以及间接通过植被和陆地表面特征的变化，如池塘等繁殖地的变异性。
