Kolk Martin
a Stockholm University.
Popul Stud (Camb). 2014 Mar;68(1):111-29. doi: 10.1080/00324728.2013.819112. Epub 2013 Aug 20.
The study of the intergenerational transmission of fertility has a long history in demography, but until now research has focused primarily on parents' influence on their children's fertility patterns and has largely overlooked the possible influence of other kin. This study examines the transmission of fertility patterns from parents, grandparents, uncles, and aunts, using event history models to determine the risk of first, second, and third births. Swedish register data are used to study the 1970-82 birth cohorts. The findings indicate strong associations between the fertility of index persons and that of their parents, and also independent associations between the completed fertility of index persons and that of their grandparents and parents' siblings. The results suggest that, when examining background effects in fertility research, it is relevant to take a multigenerational perspective and to consider the characteristics of extended kin.
生育的代际传递研究在人口学领域有着悠久的历史，但直到现在，研究主要集中在父母对子女生育模式的影响上，而在很大程度上忽视了其他亲属可能产生的影响。本研究利用事件史模型来确定第一胎、第二胎和第三胎的生育风险，考察了父母、祖父母、叔叔和阿姨的生育模式传递情况。瑞典登记数据用于研究1970 - 1982年出生队列。研究结果表明，指标个体的生育情况与其父母的生育情况之间存在很强的关联，指标个体的生育数量与其祖父母及父母的兄弟姐妹的生育数量之间也存在独立关联。结果表明，在研究生育问题中的背景影响时，采用多代视角并考虑大家庭亲属的特征是有意义的。
