School of Nursing, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong, Hong Kong.
BMJ Open. 2013 Aug 19;3(8):e002963. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2013-002963.
This study examines the recent trends in ischaemic heart disease (IHD) incidence and case fatality in Hong Kong and explores the possible risk factors.
Retrospective observational study.
All public hospitals in Hong Kong.
Incidence rate was defined as the number of IHD inpatient episodes divided by the size of the corresponding population. Short-term and long-term case fatality rate was defined as deaths from all causes occurring within 30 and 31-365 days, respectively, divided by the number of IHD inpatient episodes among the corresponding population.
Poisson and logistic regression models were used to examine the IHD incidence and short-term/long-term case fatality trends, respectively, for different age and sex groups.
IHD incidence was stable in most age groups. However, the incidence in men aged 15-24, 35-44 and ≥85 years showed increasing trends, whereas the incidence in men aged 55-64 years and women aged 35-74 years showed decreasing trends. Overall, the short-term/long-term case fatality rates were unchanged over time for both sexes. Short-term case fatality showed increasing trends in women aged 65-74 and ≥85 years, while long-term case fatality in men aged 55-64 and 75-84 years and women aged ≥75 years showed increasing trends.
Hong Kong trends resembled those in the USA, England and Wales, showing stable or slow decline in the IHD rates, while increasing trends were observed for some age groups, particularly young adults. Public health promotion efforts should focus on reducing cardiovascular risk factors, such as hypertension prevalence.
本研究旨在探讨香港缺血性心脏病(IHD)发病率和病死率的近期趋势,并探讨可能的危险因素。
回顾性观察性研究。
香港所有公立医院。
发病率定义为 IHD 住院病例数除以相应人群的规模。短期和长期病死率定义为分别在 30 天和 31-365 天内所有原因导致的死亡人数除以相应人群中 IHD 住院病例数。
采用泊松和逻辑回归模型分别检查不同年龄和性别组的 IHD 发病率和短期/长期病死率趋势。
大多数年龄组的 IHD 发病率保持稳定。然而,15-24 岁、35-44 岁和≥85 岁男性以及 55-64 岁男性和 35-74 岁女性的发病率呈上升趋势。总体而言,两性的短期/长期病死率在不同时间保持不变。65-74 岁和≥85 岁女性的短期病死率呈上升趋势,而 55-64 岁和 75-84 岁男性以及≥75 岁女性的长期病死率呈上升趋势。
香港的趋势与美国、英国和威尔士相似,表明 IHD 发病率呈稳定或缓慢下降趋势,而某些年龄组,尤其是年轻人的发病率呈上升趋势。公共卫生促进工作应重点关注降低心血管危险因素,如高血压患病率。