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具有随机出生率的猎物物种的综合虫害治理。

Integrated pest management with stochastic birth rate for prey species.

机构信息

Department of Mathematics, Illinois State University Normal, IL, USA.

出版信息

Front Neurosci. 2013 Aug 8;7:141. doi: 10.3389/fnins.2013.00141. eCollection 2013.

DOI:10.3389/fnins.2013.00141
PMID:23964194
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3737476/
Abstract

Song and Xiang (2006) developed an impulsive differential equations model for a two-prey one-predator model with stage structure for the predator. They demonstrate the conditions on the impulsive period for which a globally asymptotically stable pest-eradication periodic solution exists, as well as conditions on the impulsive period for which the prey species is permanently maintained under an economically acceptable threshold. We extend their model by including stage structure for both predator and prey as well as by adding stochastic elements in the birth rate of the prey. As in Song and Xiang (2006), we find the conditions under which a globally asymptotically stable pest eradication periodic solution exists. In addition, we numerically show the relationship between the stochastically varying birth rate of the prey and the necessary efficacy of the pesticide for which the probability of eradication of the prey species is above 90%. This is significant because the model recognizes varying environmental and climatic conditions which affect the resources needed for pest eradication.

摘要

宋和向(2006 年)为一个具有阶段结构的两食一捕食者模型开发了一个脉冲微分方程模型。他们证明了在脉冲周期上存在全局渐近稳定的害虫灭绝周期解的条件,以及在脉冲周期上存在经济上可接受的阈值下,猎物物种永久维持的条件。我们通过包括捕食者和猎物的阶段结构以及在猎物的出生率中添加随机元素来扩展他们的模型。与宋和向(2006 年)一样,我们找到了存在全局渐近稳定的害虫灭绝周期解的条件。此外,我们通过数值显示了猎物的随机变化出生率与杀虫剂的必要功效之间的关系,对于这种杀虫剂,消灭猎物物种的概率高于 90%。这是很重要的,因为该模型认识到了影响害虫灭绝所需资源的变化的环境和气候条件。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/02fd/3737476/9b7e95cbabda/fnins-07-00141-g0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/02fd/3737476/9b7e95cbabda/fnins-07-00141-g0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/02fd/3737476/9b7e95cbabda/fnins-07-00141-g0001.jpg

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On impulsive integrated pest management models with stochastic effects.关于具有随机效应的脉冲式有害生物综合管理模型
Front Neurosci. 2015 Apr 21;9:119. doi: 10.3389/fnins.2015.00119. eCollection 2015.

本文引用的文献

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SIR-SVS epidemic models with continuous and impulsive vaccination strategies.具有连续和脉冲接种策略的 SIR-SVS 传染病模型。
J Theor Biol. 2011 Jul 7;280(1):108-16. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2011.03.013. Epub 2011 Apr 6.
2
Seasonal dispersal of pests: one surge or two?害虫的季节性扩散:一次激增还是两次?
J Evol Biol. 2009 Jun;22(6):1193-202. doi: 10.1111/j.1420-9101.2009.01730.x. Epub 2009 Mar 27.
3
The prey-dependent consumption two-prey one-predator models with stage structure for the predator and impulsive effects.具有捕食者阶段结构和脉冲效应的捕食者依赖型两种猎物一种捕食者模型。
J Theor Biol. 2006 Oct 7;242(3):683-98. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2006.05.002. Epub 2006 May 19.
4
Integrated pest management models and their dynamical behaviour.综合害虫管理模型及其动态行为。
Bull Math Biol. 2005 Jan;67(1):115-35. doi: 10.1016/j.bulm.2004.06.005.
5
Extinction and permanence of a two-prey one-predator system with impulsive effect.具有脉冲效应的两食饵一捕食者系统的灭绝与持久性
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Density-dependent birth rate, birth pulses and their population dynamic consequences.密度依赖出生率、出生脉冲及其种群动态后果。
J Math Biol. 2002 Feb;44(2):185-99. doi: 10.1007/s002850100121.