Division of Population Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Atlanta, GA, USA.
J Dent Res. 2013 Nov;92(11):1041-7. doi: 10.1177/0022034513505621. Epub 2013 Sep 24.
The purpose of this study was to evaluate the performance of self-reported measures in predicting periodontitis in a representative US adult population, based on 2009-2010 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) data. Self-reported gum health and treatment history, loose teeth, bone loss around teeth, tooth not looking right, and use of dental floss and mouthwash were obtained during in-home interviews and validated against full-mouth clinically assessed periodontitis in 3,743 US adults 30 years and older. All self-reported measures (> 95% item response rates) were associated with periodontitis, and bivariate correlations between responses to these questions were weak, indicating low redundancy. In multivariable logistic regression modeling, the combined effects of demographic measures and responses to 5 self-reported questions in predicting periodontitis of mild or greater severity were 85% sensitive and 58% specific and produced an 'area under the receiver operator characteristic curve' (AUROCC) of 0.81. Four questions were 95% sensitive and 30% specific, with an AUROCC of 0.82 in predicting prevalence of clinical attachment loss ≥ 3 mm at one or more sites. In conclusion, self-reported measures performed well in predicting periodontitis in US adults. Where preferred clinically based surveillance is unattainable, locally adapted variations of these self-reported measures may be a promising alternative for surveillance of periodontitis.
本研究旨在根据 2009-2010 年全国健康和营养调查(NHANES)数据,评估自我报告测量在预测代表性美国成年人牙周炎中的表现。在家庭访谈中获得了自我报告的牙龈健康和治疗史、松动的牙齿、牙齿周围的骨质流失、牙齿外观异常以及使用牙线和漱口水的情况,并与 3743 名 30 岁及以上的美国成年人进行的全口临床评估牙周炎进行了验证。所有自我报告的测量方法(>95%的项目应答率)均与牙周炎相关,这些问题的应答之间的双变量相关性较弱,表明冗余度低。在多变量逻辑回归模型中,人口统计学测量和对 5 个自我报告问题的应答联合预测轻度或更严重牙周炎的效果为 85%敏感和 58%特异,并产生了 0.81 的接收器操作特征曲线(AUROCC)。有 4 个问题的敏感性为 95%,特异性为 30%,在预测一个或多个部位临床附着丧失≥3mm 的患病率方面,AUROCC 为 0.82。总之,自我报告的测量方法在美国成年人中预测牙周炎的表现良好。在无法获得首选的基于临床的监测的情况下,这些自我报告测量方法的本地化适应性变化可能是监测牙周炎的一种有前途的替代方法。