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病毒性肠胃炎的潜伏期:一项系统综述

Incubation periods of viral gastroenteritis: a systematic review.

作者信息

Lee Rachel M, Lessler Justin, Lee Rose A, Rudolph Kara E, Reich Nicholas G, Perl Trish M, Cummings Derek A T

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, USA.

出版信息

BMC Infect Dis. 2013 Sep 25;13:446. doi: 10.1186/1471-2334-13-446.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Accurate knowledge of incubation period is important to investigate and to control infectious diseases and their transmission, however statements of incubation period in the literature are often uncited, inconsistent, and/or not evidence based.

METHODS

In a systematic review of the literature on five enteric viruses of public health importance, we found 256 articles with incubation period estimates, including 33 with data for pooled analysis.

RESULTS

We fit a log-normal distribution to pooled data and found the median incubation period to be 4.5 days (95% CI 3.9-5.2 days) for astrovirus, 1.2 days (95% CI 1.1-1.2 days) for norovirus genogroups I and II, 1.7 days (95% CI 1.5-1.8 days) for sapovirus, and 2.0 days (95% CI 1.4-2.4 days) for rotavirus.

CONCLUSIONS

Our estimates combine published data and provide sufficient quantitative detail to allow for these estimates to be used in a wide range of clinical and modeling applications. This can translate into improved prevention and control efforts in settings with transmission or the risk of transmission.

摘要

背景

准确了解潜伏期对于调查和控制传染病及其传播至关重要,然而文献中关于潜伏期的表述往往缺乏引用、不一致且/或缺乏循证依据。

方法

在对五种具有公共卫生重要性的肠道病毒的文献进行系统综述时,我们发现了256篇有潜伏期估计值的文章,其中33篇有可用于汇总分析的数据。

结果

我们对汇总数据拟合了对数正态分布,发现星状病毒的中位潜伏期为4.5天(95%置信区间3.9 - 5.2天),I组和II组诺如病毒为1.2天(95%置信区间1.1 - 1.2天),札如病毒为1.7天(95%置信区间1.5 - 1.8天),轮状病毒为2.0天(95%置信区间1.4 - 2.4天)。

结论

我们的估计整合了已发表的数据,并提供了足够的定量细节,以便这些估计值能用于广泛的临床和建模应用。这可以转化为在存在传播或传播风险的环境中加强预防和控制措施。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9db0/3849296/1fbd38882a21/1471-2334-13-446-1.jpg

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