Marras Theodore K, Prevots D Rebecca, Jamieson Frances B, Winthrop Kevin L
1 Division of Respirology, University Health Network and Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Ann Am Thorac Soc. 2014 Jan;11(1):17-22. doi: 10.1513/AnnalsATS.201305-136OC.
Pulmonary Mycobacterium avium complex treatment guidelines rely largely on expert opinion. The extent to which nonexperts agree with recommendations of experts in this clinical area is unknown.
We sought to compare practices and perceptions of prognosis between experts and nonexperts.
We surveyed respirologists (Ontario, Canada, "nonexperts") and experts from nontuberculous mycobacterial disease centers of excellence (Canada and United States).
Forty-six Ontario respirologists (29% of 160) and 19 experts (73% of 26) participated. There was agreement between nonexperts and experts regarding disease duration before diagnosis (2 yr), likelihood of spontaneous remission (7-15%), typical duration of treatment (18 mo), first choice of therapy (guideline regimens), a subgroup of patients for whom less-intensive regimens are favored (10% after recurrence), likelihood of recurrence (30%), and median survival (10 yr in most patients). Noted differences were that nonexperts estimated fewer patients with a positive culture had disease (30% vs. 50%, P = 0.02), used intensive guidelines therapy less often in new cases (50% vs. 79%, P = 0.02), and perceived a slightly lower success rate with guidelines therapy (65% vs. 75%, P = 0.047). Response ranges were wider for nonexperts, significantly so for selection of intensive guidelines therapy in new (P = 0.01) and recurrent (P = 0.04) cases.
Experts and nonexperts agreed on many issues. However, nonexperts perceived lower rates of disease among patients with isolates, tended to use less aggressive treatment approaches, and perceived lower success rates. Significant variability was observed in responses-often wider among nonexperts. Although these results are likely biased by referral, they may identify important areas for targeted education.
鸟分枝杆菌复合群肺部感染的治疗指南很大程度上依赖专家意见。在这一临床领域,非专家对专家建议的认同程度尚不清楚。
我们试图比较专家和非专家在治疗方法及预后认知方面的差异。
我们对呼吸科医生(加拿大安大略省,“非专家”)以及非结核分枝杆菌病卓越中心的专家(加拿大和美国)进行了调查。
46名安大略省呼吸科医生(160名中的29%)和19名专家(26名中的73%)参与了调查。非专家和专家在以下方面达成了共识:诊断前的疾病持续时间(2年)、自发缓解的可能性(7 - 15%)、典型的治疗持续时间(18个月)、首选治疗方法(指南推荐方案)、倾向于采用强度较低治疗方案的患者亚组(复发后为10%)、复发可能性(30%)以及中位生存期(大多数患者为10年)。值得注意的差异在于,非专家估计培养结果呈阳性的患者中患病的人数较少(30%对50%,P = 0.02),在新病例中较少使用指南推荐的强化治疗(50%对79%,P = 0.02),并且认为指南治疗的成功率略低(65%对75%,P = 0.047)。非专家的回答范围更宽,在新病例(P = 0.01)和复发病例(P = 0.04)中选择指南推荐的强化治疗时差异尤为显著。
专家和非专家在许多问题上达成了一致。然而,非专家认为培养结果呈阳性的患者中患病比例较低,倾向于采用积极性较低的治疗方法,并且认为成功率较低。回答存在显著差异——非专家的差异通常更大。尽管这些结果可能因转诊而存在偏差,但它们可能确定了有针对性教育的重要领域。