Aven Terje, Zio Enrico
University of Stavanger, Stavanger, Norway.
Risk Anal. 2014 Jul;34(7):1164-72. doi: 10.1111/risa.12132. Epub 2013 Oct 23.
This is a perspective article on foundational issues in risk assessment and management. The aim is to discuss the needs, obstacles, and challenges for the establishment of a renewed, strong scientific foundation for risk assessment and risk management suited for the current and future technological challenges. The focus is on (i) reviewing and discussing the present situation and (ii) identifying how to best proceed in the future, to develop the risk discipline in the directions needed. The article provides some reflections on the interpretation and understanding of the concept of "foundations of risk assessment and risk management" and the challenges therein. One main recommendation is that different arenas and moments for discussion are needed to specifically address foundational issues in a way that embraces the many disciplinary communities involved (from social scientists to engineers, from behavioral scientists to statisticians, from health physicists to lawyers, etc.). One such opportunity is sought in the constitution of a novel specialty group of the Society of Risk Analysis.
这是一篇关于风险评估与管理基础问题的观点文章。目的是探讨为适应当前及未来技术挑战，建立一个全新、坚实的风险评估与风险管理科学基础的需求、障碍和挑战。重点在于：（i）回顾和讨论当前形势；（ii）确定未来如何以最佳方式推进，使风险学科朝着所需方向发展。本文对“风险评估与风险管理基础”概念的解释与理解以及其中的挑战进行了一些思考。一个主要建议是，需要不同的讨论领域和时机，以一种涵盖众多相关学科群体（从社会科学家到工程师，从行为科学家到统计学家，从健康物理学家到律师等）的方式专门解决基础问题。在风险分析协会组建一个新的专业小组便是寻求这样一个机会。
