Lee Dong-Woo, Gwack Jin, Youn Seun-Ki
Division of Public Health Crisis Responses, Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Osong, Korea.
Osong Public Health Res Perspect. 2012 Mar;3(1):43-7. doi: 10.1016/j.phrp.2012.01.007.
The aim of this study is to determine the incubation period of enteropathogenic Escherichia coli (EPEC), which creates several outbreaks in a year in South Korea.
We reviewed all water and food-borne outbreaks data reported to the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (KCDC) from 2009 to 2010 and determined their characteristics. Through this process, we can presume the incubation period of EPEC among outbreaks in South Korea.
A total of 497 water and food-borne outbreaks were reported to KCDC and 66 (13.28%) are defined as E coli-origin outbreaks. EPEC was the most common subtype of E coli, being confirmed as a causative organism in 26 outbreaks. Overall attack rate was 15.85% (range 0.9-100). The subjects were eight outbreaks that have a clear history of single exposure and we can estimate the incubation time of EPEC as minimum 0.5 hours to maximum 34.0 hours with a mean 12.9 hours (range 4.5-24.0). The cases of those cannot completely rule out the chance of multiple exposure from same source or place have minimum 1.0 hour, to a maximum of 195.5 hours and a mean 30.5 (range 22.7-61.0) hours of incubation period.
This serial analysis suggests that EPEC has actually shorter mean incubation period as much as 12 hours. When this period is longer than 1 day or over, then the epidemiologic investigator should consider the chance of repeated or continuous exposure by making it clear whether there is any chance of any other exposure in common.
本研究旨在确定肠致病性大肠杆菌(EPEC)的潜伏期,该病菌在韩国每年引发多起疫情。
我们回顾了2009年至2010年向韩国疾病控制与预防中心(KCDC)报告的所有水媒和食源性疫情数据,并确定其特征。通过这一过程,我们可以推测韩国疫情中EPEC的潜伏期。
KCDC共收到497起水媒和食源性疫情报告,其中66起(13.28%)被定义为大肠杆菌源疫情。EPEC是大肠杆菌最常见的亚型,在26起疫情中被确认为致病病原体。总体发病率为15.85%(范围0.9 - 100)。选取了8起有明确单次暴露史的疫情,我们可以估计EPEC的潜伏期最短为0.5小时,最长为34.0小时,平均为12.9小时(范围4.5 - 24.0)。对于那些不能完全排除同一来源或地点多次暴露可能性的病例,潜伏期最短为1.0小时,最长为195.5小时,平均为30.5小时(范围22.7 - 61.0)。
本次系列分析表明,EPEC的实际平均潜伏期短至12小时。当这个时间段超过1天时,流行病学调查人员应通过明确是否存在其他共同暴露的可能性,来考虑反复或持续暴露的可能性。