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美国儿童脑肿瘤发病率在上升吗?来自监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库分析的显著发病率和生存率结果。

Are pediatric brain tumors on the rise in the USA? Significant incidence and survival findings from the SEER database analysis.

作者信息

Patel Swetal, Bhatnagar Amit, Wear Christopher, Osiro Stephen, Gabriel Abigail, Kimball David, John Alana, Fields Paul J, Tubbs R Shane, Loukas Marios

机构信息

Department of Anatomical Sciences, School of Medicine, St. George's University, St. George's, Grenada.

出版信息

Childs Nerv Syst. 2014 Jan;30(1):147-54. doi: 10.1007/s00381-013-2307-1. Epub 2013 Oct 27.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Central nervous system tumors are the second most common form of cancer in children between the ages of 1 and 19 years. We aimed to provide the most recent data on the incidence and survival of these tumors in the USA and to assess the literature.

METHODS

Frequency, rates, and survival sessions were calculated using the November 2008 submission for the US Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results Program. Data were collected and analyzed for children and adolescents aged 1 to 19 years with primary brain tumors.

RESULTS

We found that the incidence rate of all pediatric brain tumors has been on a gradual but steady increase from 1973 to 2008 (p < 0.001). The average annual increase was 1.37 %. Our survival analysis of the individual tumors revealed that the 5-year overall survival for children diagnosed between 1974 and 1978 with medulloblastoma was 43.7 %. However, this increased to 62.8 % for children diagnosed between 1999 and 2003. A similar survival trend was also observed when all the other pediatric brain cancer histologies were collectively analyzed (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

From our study, we can conclude that contrary to previous reports indicating a plateau in the incidence rates of pediatric brain tumors since the mid-1980s, there has been an increase from 1973 to 2008. Potential causes include environmental carcinogens, but more research is needed to investigate the factors behind this sustained rise in incidence over the years.

摘要

引言

中枢神经系统肿瘤是1至19岁儿童中第二常见的癌症形式。我们旨在提供美国这些肿瘤发病率和生存率的最新数据,并评估相关文献。

方法

使用2008年11月提交给美国监测、流行病学和最终结果计划的数据计算发病率、发生率和生存率。收集并分析1至19岁患有原发性脑肿瘤的儿童和青少年的数据。

结果

我们发现,从1973年到2008年,所有儿童脑肿瘤的发病率一直在缓慢但稳步上升(p < 0.001)。年平均增长率为1.37%。我们对个体肿瘤的生存分析显示,1974年至1978年诊断为髓母细胞瘤的儿童的5年总生存率为43.7%。然而,1999年至2003年诊断的儿童这一比例增至62.8%。对所有其他儿童脑癌组织学进行综合分析时也观察到类似的生存趋势(p < 0.001)。

结论

从我们的研究中可以得出结论,与之前报告显示自20世纪80年代中期以来儿童脑肿瘤发病率趋于平稳相反,1973年至2008年发病率有所上升。潜在原因包括环境致癌物,但需要更多研究来调查多年来发病率持续上升背后的因素。

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