Dar Manzoor H, de Janvry Alain, Emerick Kyle, Raitzer David, Sadoulet Elisabeth
International Rice Research Institute, New Delhi, India.
Sci Rep. 2013 Nov 22;3:3315. doi: 10.1038/srep03315.
Approximately 30% of the cultivated rice area in India is prone to crop damage from prolonged flooding. We use a randomized field experiment in 128 villages of Orissa India to show that Swarna-Sub1, a recently released submergence-tolerant rice variety, has significant positive impacts on rice yield when fields are submerged for 7 to 14 days with no yield penalty without flooding. We estimate that Swarna-Sub1 offers an approximate 45% increase in yields over the current popular variety when fields are submerged for 10 days. We show additionally that low-lying areas prone to flooding tend to be more heavily occupied by people belonging to lower caste social groups. Thus, a policy relevant implication of our findings is that flood-tolerant rice can deliver both efficiency gains, through reduced yield variability and higher expected yield, and equity gains in disproportionately benefiting the most marginal group of farmers.
印度约30%的水稻种植面积容易因长期洪水而遭受作物损害。我们在印度奥里萨邦的128个村庄进行了一项随机田间试验,结果表明,最近推出的耐淹水稻品种Swarna-Sub1,在田间被淹没7至14天的情况下,对水稻产量有显著的积极影响,且在没有洪水的情况下不会造成产量损失。我们估计,当田间被淹没10天时,Swarna-Sub1的产量比目前流行的品种大约高出45%。我们还表明,容易发生洪水的低洼地区往往更多地居住着低种姓社会群体的人。因此,我们研究结果的一个与政策相关的含义是,耐洪水稻既能通过降低产量变异性和提高预期产量实现效率提升,又能在不成比例地惠及最边缘化农民群体方面实现公平收益。