Department of Geosciences, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Massachusetts 01003, USA.
Nature. 2013 Dec 5;504(7478):44-52. doi: 10.1038/nature12855.
The future impacts of climate change on landfalling tropical cyclones are unclear. Regardless of this uncertainty, flooding by tropical cyclones will increase as a result of accelerated sea-level rise. Under similar rates of rapid sea-level rise during the early Holocene epoch most low-lying sedimentary coastlines were generally much less resilient to storm impacts. Society must learn to live with a rapidly evolving shoreline that is increasingly prone to flooding from tropical cyclones. These impacts can be mitigated partly with adaptive strategies, which include careful stewardship of sediments and reductions in human-induced land subsidence.
气候变化对登陆热带气旋的未来影响尚不清楚。无论这种不确定性如何，由于海平面加速上升，热带气旋引发的洪水将会增加。在全新世早期海平面同样快速上升的情况下，大多数地势低洼的沉积海岸通常抵御风暴影响的能力要差得多。社会必须学会适应快速变化的海岸线，因为这种海岸线更容易受到热带气旋的影响而发生洪水。可以通过适应性策略部分减轻这些影响，包括对沉积物的精心管理以及减少人为导致的地面沉降。
