Zhao Li-hong, Wei Wen-qiang, Ma Heng-min, Zhao De-li
Cancer Research Center, People's Hospital of Feicheng, Feicheng 271600, China.
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Zhonghua Zhong Liu Za Zhi. 2013 Sep;35(9):714-9.
To analyze the mortality trends and disease burden of malignant tumors in rural area of Feicheng city from 2000 to 2010, and to provide basic information for the prevention and treatment of malignant tumors in this area.
The data of cancer mortality from 2000 to 2010 from Feicheng Cancer Registry database were checked. Mortality rate, standardized mortality rate, potential years of life Iost (PYLL), standardized potential years of life lost (SPYLL), average years of life lost (AYLL) and other indexes were calculated and analyzed. The trend of the standardized rates transformed by the natural logarithm over time was assessed by Prais-Winsten regression method in which the errors was assumed to follow a first-order autoregressive process. STATA 12.0 was used to analyze the data.
In average, the crude mortality rate was 199.67 per 100 000 (264.69 per 100 000 in males and 137.24 per 100 000 in females), and the standardized mortality rate was 157.00 per 100 000 (200.49 per 100 000 in males and 101.31 per 100 000 in females). There were no significant changes in the trends of all standardized rates. For males, the mortality rates of lung and colorectal cancers increased significantly, and for females, the rates of lung and breast cancers had increased trend while the rate of esophageal cancer showed a downward trend. There were no statistically significant changes in other main malignant tumors. During 2000 to 2010, the PYLL of malignant tumors in Feicheng was 183 685.0 person-years, and PYLL rate was 23.3 per 1000. The SPYLL was 153 091.0 person-years, SPYLL rate was 19.4 per 1000, and AYLL was 14.8 years.
There are no obvious changes in the trends of standardized mortality rates in rural area of Feicheng over the past 11 years. For males, the mortality of lung cancer and colorectal cancer is increasing, and for females, the rates of lung and breast cancers have an increasing trend while the rate of esophageal cancer shows a decreasing trend. The prevention and control of digestive malignant tumors, lung cancer and breast cancer are getting seriously important and should be the focal point in this issue.
分析2000年至2010年肥城市农村地区恶性肿瘤的死亡率趋势和疾病负担,为该地区恶性肿瘤的防治提供基础资料。
查阅肥城市癌症登记数据库2000年至2010年的癌症死亡数据。计算并分析死亡率、标准化死亡率、潜在寿命损失年数(PYLL)、标准化潜在寿命损失年数(SPYLL)、平均寿命损失年数(AYLL)等指标。采用Prais-Winsten回归方法评估自然对数变换后的标准化率随时间的趋势,其中假设误差服从一阶自回归过程。使用STATA 12.0软件进行数据分析。
平均粗死亡率为199.67/10万(男性为264.69/10万,女性为137.24/10万),标准化死亡率为157.00/10万(男性为200.49/10万,女性为101.31/10万)。所有标准化率的趋势均无显著变化。男性中,肺癌和结直肠癌死亡率显著上升;女性中,肺癌和乳腺癌死亡率呈上升趋势,而食管癌死亡率呈下降趋势。其他主要恶性肿瘤无统计学显著变化。2000年至2010年,肥城市恶性肿瘤的PYLL为183 685.0人年,PYLL率为23.3‰。SPYLL为153 091.0人年,SPYLL率为19.4‰,AYLL为14.8年。
肥城市农村地区过去11年标准化死亡率趋势无明显变化。男性中,肺癌和结直肠癌死亡率上升;女性中,肺癌和乳腺癌死亡率呈上升趋势,而食管癌死亡率呈下降趋势。消化系恶性肿瘤、肺癌和乳腺癌的防治日益重要,应成为该问题的重点。