Correspondence should be addressed to Jennifer Beam Dowd, Epidemiology and Biostatistics at Hunter College, CUNY School of Public Health, CUNY Institute for Demographic Research, New York 10010. E-mail:
J Gerontol B Psychol Sci Soc Sci. 2014 Mar;69(2):253-62. doi: 10.1093/geronb/gbt114. Epub 2013 Dec 14.
Economic security around retirement age may be an important determinant of psychological and cognitive well-being of older adults. This study examines the impact of the dramatic increase in housing prices from the mid-1990s to the mid-2000s on psychological and cognitive outcomes among Americans born between 1924 and 1960.
Our quasi-experimental empirical strategy exploits geographic differences in housing market price trends during the housing boom (from the mid-1990s until 2006). We use individual-level data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) and estimates of housing values from DataQuick, a California-based real estate consultancy firm, to estimate the association of housing price increases with psychological and cognitive outcomes at follow-up.
Greater housing appreciation over the follow-up period was associated with a significantly lower risk of anxiety (for women) and an improved performance on some but not all cognitive tasks. Effects for depressive symptoms, positive and negative affect, and life satisfaction were all in the beneficial direction but not statistically significant. The effects of price run-ups were concentrated on homeowners, as opposed to renters, suggestive of wealth-driven effects.
Housing market volatility may influence the psychological and cognitive health of older adults, highlighting potential health consequences of pro-home ownership policies, which may be especially important in light of recent dramatic housing price declines.
退休年龄前后的经济安全状况可能是影响老年人心理和认知健康的一个重要决定因素。本研究考察了 20 世纪 90 年代中期至 21 世纪中期房价大幅上涨对 1924 年至 1960 年出生的美国人的心理和认知结果的影响。
我们的准实验实证策略利用了房地产繁荣时期(从 20 世纪 90 年代中期到 2006 年)房价趋势的地理差异。我们使用来自健康与退休研究(HRS)的个人层面数据和来自加利福尼亚州房地产咨询公司 DataQuick 的住房价值估计值,来估计房价上涨与随访期间的心理和认知结果之间的关联。
在随访期间,房价升值幅度较大与焦虑(女性)风险显著降低以及一些而非所有认知任务表现改善相关。抑郁症状、积极和消极情绪以及生活满意度的影响都朝着有益的方向发展,但没有统计学意义。价格飙升的影响集中在房主身上,而不是租房者身上,这表明是财富驱动的影响。
房地产市场波动可能会影响老年人的心理和认知健康,凸显了支持住房自有政策的潜在健康后果,考虑到最近房价的大幅下跌,这一点尤为重要。