Multivariate analysis of prognostic factors in patients with disseminated nonseminomatous testicular cancer: results from a European Organization for Research on Treatment of Cancer Multiinstitutional Phase III Study.

Univariate and multivariate linear logistic regression analyses of potential prognostic variables have been performed for 163 patients with disseminated nonseminomatous testicular cancer, treated with cisplatin, vinblastine, and bleomycin in a multicenter study of the European Organization for Research on Treatment of Cancer Genito-Urinary Tract Cancer Cooperative Group. With a multivariate analysis, four prognostic groups with complete responder rates of 100, 89, 41, and 18%, respectively, were identified based on three prognostic factors: trophoblastic elements in the primary tumor, serum concentration of alpha-fetoprotein, and lung metastases by size and number. However, with a univariate analysis the logarithm of the beta subunit of human chorionic gonadotrophin (BHCG) was the single most important factor. This model aids the physician in selecting prospectively good risk patients who are candidates for low toxicity chemotherapy and poor risk patients with whom innovative treatment should be attempted.