Williams Stephanie, Fitzner Julia, Merianos Angela, Mounts Anthony
World Health Organization, avenue Appia 20, 1211 Geneva 27, Switzerland .
Bull World Health Organ. 2014 Jan 1;92(1):60-7. doi: 10.2471/BLT.12.116723. Epub 2013 Aug 23.
During the 2009 A(H1N1) influenza pandemic, the World Health Organization (WHO) asked all Member States to provide case-based data on at least the first 100 laboratory-confirmed influenza cases to generate an early understanding of the pandemic and provide appropriate guidance to affected countries. In reviewing the pandemic surveillance strategy, we evaluated the utility of case-based data collection and the challenges in interpreting these data at the global level. To do this, we assessed compliance with the surveillance recommendation and data completeness of submitted case records and described the epidemiological characteristics of up to the first 110 reported cases from each country, aggregated into regions. From April 2009 to August 2011, WHO received over 18 000 case records from 84 countries. Data reached WHO at different time intervals, in different formats and without information on collection methods. Just over half of the 18 000 records gave the date of symptom onset, which made it difficult to assess whether the cases were among the earliest to be confirmed. Descriptive epidemiological analyses were limited to summarizing age, sex and hospitalization ratios. Centralized analysis of case-based data had little value in describing key features of the pandemic. Results were difficult to interpret and would have been misleading if viewed in isolation. A better approach would be to identify critical questions, standardize data elements and methods of investigation, and create efficient channels for communication between countries and the international public health community. Regular exchange of routine surveillance data will help to consolidate these essential channels of communication.
在2009年甲型H1N1流感大流行期间,世界卫生组织(WHO)要求所有成员国至少提供前100例实验室确诊流感病例的个案数据,以便尽早了解大流行情况,并为受影响国家提供适当指导。在审查大流行监测策略时,我们评估了个案数据收集的效用以及在全球层面解读这些数据时面临的挑战。为此,我们评估了对监测建议的遵守情况以及所提交病例记录的数据完整性,并描述了每个国家上报的前110例病例(按区域汇总)的流行病学特征。2009年4月至2011年8月,WHO收到了来自84个国家的18000多份病例记录。数据以不同的时间间隔、不同的格式送达WHO,且没有关于收集方法的信息。在这18000份记录中,仅有略超过一半记录了症状出现日期,这使得难以评估这些病例是否属于最早确诊的病例。描述性流行病学分析仅限于总结年龄、性别和住院率。对个案数据的集中分析在描述大流行的关键特征方面价值不大。结果难以解读,若孤立看待则可能产生误导。更好的方法是确定关键问题,规范数据元素和调查方法,并建立国家与国际公共卫生界之间高效的沟通渠道。定期交流常规监测数据将有助于巩固这些重要的沟通渠道。