Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America ; McGill International TB Centre & Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics, and Occupational Health, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
McGill International TB Centre & Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics, and Occupational Health, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada ; Respiratory Epidemiology & Clinical Research Unit, Montreal Chest Institute, Montreal, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
PLoS One. 2014 Jan 3;9(1):e84197. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0084197. eCollection 2014.
Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) is resistant to both rifampicin (RIF) and isoniazid (INH). Whereas many TB diagnostics detect RIF-resistance, few detect INH-monoresistance, which is common and may increase risk of acquired MDR-TB. Whether inclusion of INH-resistance in a first-line rapid test for TB would have an important impact on MDR-TB rates remains uncertain.
WE DEVELOPED A TRANSMISSION MODEL TO EVALUATE THREE TESTS IN A POPULATION SIMILAR TO THAT OF INDIA: a rapid molecular test for TB, the same test plus RIF-resistance detection ("TB+RIF"), and detection of RIF and INH-resistance ("TB+RIF/INH"). Our primary outcome was the prevalence of INH-resistant and MDR-TB at ten years.
Compared to the TB test alone and assuming treatment of all diagnosed MDR cases, the TB+RIF test reduced the prevalence of MDR-TB among all TB cases from 5.5% to 3.8% (30.6% reduction, 95% uncertainty range, UR: 17-54%). Despite using liberal assumptions about the impact of INH-monoresistance on treatment outcomes and MDR-TB acquisition, expansion from TB+RIF to TB+RIF/INH lowered this prevalence only from 3.8% to 3.6% further (4% reduction, 95% UR: 3-7%) and INH-monoresistant TB from 15.8% to 15.1% (4% reduction, 95% UR: (-8)-19%).
When added to a rapid test for TB plus RIF-resistance, detection of INH-resistance has minimal impact on transmission of TB, MDR-TB, and INH-monoresistant TB.
耐多药结核病(MDR-TB)对利福平(RIF)和异烟肼(INH)均耐药。虽然许多结核病诊断检测可检测到 RIF 耐药性,但很少检测到 INH 单耐药性,而后者很常见,并且可能会增加获得 MDR-TB 的风险。在针对结核病的一线快速检测中纳入 INH 耐药性是否会对 MDR-TB 发生率产生重大影响仍不确定。
我们开发了一种传播模型,以评估类似于印度人群的人群中的三种检测方法:一种用于结核病的快速分子检测、同一种检测加上 RIF 耐药性检测(“TB+RIF”),以及 RIF 和 INH 耐药性检测(“TB+RIF/INH”)。我们的主要结局是十年后 INH 耐药和 MDR-TB 的流行率。
与单独进行 TB 检测相比,并假设对所有诊断出的 MDR 病例进行治疗,TB+RIF 检测将所有 TB 病例中的 MDR-TB 流行率从 5.5%降低至 3.8%(降低 30.6%,95%置信区间[UR]:17-54%)。尽管对 INH 单耐药性对治疗结果和 MDR-TB 获得的影响进行了宽松的假设,但从 TB+RIF 扩展到 TB+RIF/INH 仅使该流行率进一步降低了 4%(95% UR:3-7%),并且 INH 单耐药性结核病从 15.8%降低至 15.1%(降低 4%,95% UR:(-8)-19%)。
当添加到用于 TB 加 RIF 耐药性的快速检测中时,检测 INH 耐药性对结核病、MDR-TB 和 INH 单耐药性结核病的传播影响很小。