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再探锚定效应:比较问题的作用。

Anchoring revisited: the role of the comparative question.

机构信息

Department of Social and Legal Psychology, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany.

Department of Social Psychology, University of Bielefeld, Bielefeld, Germany.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2014 Jan 14;9(1):e86056. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0086056. eCollection 2014.

DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0086056
PMID:24454953
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3891817/
Abstract

When people estimate a numeric value after judging whether it is larger or smaller than a high or low anchor value (comparative question), estimates are biased in the direction of the anchor. One explanation for this anchoring effect is that people selectively access knowledge consistent with the anchor value as part of a positive test strategy. Two studies (total N = 184) supported the alternative explanation that people access knowledge consistent with their own answer to the comparative question. Specifically, anchoring effects emerged when the answer to the comparative question was unexpected (lower than the low anchor or higher than the high anchor). For expected answers (lower than the high anchor or higher than the low anchor), however, anchoring effects were attenuated or reversed. The anchor value itself was almost never reported as an absolute estimate.

摘要

当人们在判断一个数值是大于还是小于高或低锚定值之后对其进行估计时(比较问题),他们的估计会偏向于锚定值。对这种锚定效应的一种解释是,人们作为积极测试策略的一部分,有选择地获取与锚定值一致的知识。两项研究(总人数=184)支持了另一种解释,即人们获取与比较问题的答案一致的知识。具体来说,当比较问题的答案出乎意料时(低于低锚定值或高于高锚定值),就会出现锚定效应。然而,对于可预期的答案(低于高锚定值或高于低锚定值),锚定效应则会减弱或反转。锚定值本身几乎从未被报告为绝对估计值。

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本文引用的文献

1
Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.《不确定性下的判断:启发式与偏差》
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Playing dice with criminal sentences: the influence of irrelevant anchors on experts' judicial decision making.拿刑事判决碰运气:无关锚定对专家司法决策的影响。
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Comparison processes in social judgment: mechanisms and consequences.社会判断中的比较过程:机制与后果。
Psychol Rev. 2003 Jul;110(3):472-89. doi: 10.1037/0033-295x.110.3.472.
4
Is 7300 m Equal to 7.3 km? Same Semantics but Different Anchoring Effects.7300米等于7.3千米吗?语义相同但锚定效应不同。
Organ Behav Hum Decis Process. 2000 Jul;82(2):314-333. doi: 10.1006/obhd.2000.2900.
5
The use of category and exemplar knowledge in the solution of anchoring tasks.
J Pers Soc Psychol. 2000 Jun;78(6):1038-52. doi: 10.1037//0022-3514.78.6.1038.
6
Anchoring, Activation, and the Construction of Values.锚定、激活与价值观的构建
Organ Behav Hum Decis Process. 1999 Aug;79(2):115-153. doi: 10.1006/obhd.1999.2841.
7
A new look at anchoring effects: basic anchoring and its antecedents.锚定效应新探:基本锚定及其前因
J Exp Psychol Gen. 1996 Dec;125(4):387-402. doi: 10.1037//0096-3445.125.4.387.