Department of Civil Engineering, Building 60, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria 3800, Australia.
Department of Civil Engineering, Building 60, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria 3800, Australia.
Accid Anal Prev. 2014 May;66:20-6. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2013.12.022. Epub 2014 Jan 17.
Previous research has provided little insight into factors that influence the probability of bus drivers being at-fault in bus-involved accidents. In this study, an analysis was conducted on accident data compiled by a bus company that include an assessment on whether the bus driver was deemed by the company to hold primary responsibility for accident occurrence. Using a mixed logit modelling approach, roadway/environmental, vehicle and driver related variables that were identified to be influential were road type, speed limit, traffic/lighting conditions, bus priority, bus age/length and driver's age/gender/experience/historic at-fault accident record. Results were indicative of possible confined road-space issues that bus drivers face along routes with roadside traffic friction and point to the provision of exclusive right of way for buses as a possible way to address this. Results also suggest benefits in assigning routes comprising mainly divided roads as well as newer and shorter buses to less experienced drivers.
先前的研究很少能深入了解影响公共汽车事故中公交车司机过错概率的因素。在这项研究中，对一家公共汽车公司编制的事故数据进行了分析，其中包括对公司是否认为公交车司机对事故发生负有主要责任的评估。使用混合 Logit 模型方法，确定了道路/环境、车辆和驾驶员相关变量，这些变量被认为具有影响力，包括道路类型、限速、交通/照明条件、公交车优先、公交车年龄/长度和驾驶员的年龄/性别/经验/历史过错事故记录。结果表明，公交车司机在有路边交通摩擦的路线上可能面临有限的道路空间问题，并指出为公交车提供专用路权可能是解决这一问题的一种方式。结果还表明，将主要由分隔道路以及较新和较短的公交车分配给经验较少的驾驶员组成的路线具有一定的优势。
