International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research,Bangladesh.
London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine,London,UK.
Epidemiol Infect. 2014 Dec;142(12):2530-41. doi: 10.1017/S095026881400017X. Epub 2014 Feb 13.
The study aimed to determine the geographical diversity in seasonality of major diarrhoeal pathogens among 21 138 patients enrolled between 2010 and 2012 in two urban and two rural sites in Bangladesh under the surveillance system of the International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b). Distinct patterns in seasonality were found for rotavirus diarrhoea which peaked in winter across the sites (December and January) and dipped during the rainy season (May) in urban Dhaka, August in Mirpur and July in Matlab, equated by time-series analysis using quasi-Poisson regression model. Significant seasonality for shigellosis was observed in Dhaka and rural Mirzapur. Cholera had robust seasonality in Dhaka and Matlab in the hot and rainy seasons. For enterotoxogenic Escherichia coli (ETEC) diarrhoea, clearly defined seasonality was observed in Dhaka (summer). Understanding the seasonality of such pathogens can improve case management with appropriate therapy, allowing policy-makers to identify periods of high disease burden.
本研究旨在确定 2010 年至 2012 年间在孟加拉国国际腹泻病研究中心(icddr,b)监测系统下登记的 21138 名患者中主要腹泻病病原体的季节性在地理上的差异。轮状病毒腹泻在不同地点(12 月和 1 月)冬季达到高峰,而在达卡城市雨季(5 月)下降,在 Mirpur 为 8 月,在 Matlab 为 7 月,这与使用拟泊松回归模型的时间序列分析结果一致。在达卡和农村 Mirzapur 观察到志贺氏菌病有明显的季节性。霍乱在达卡和 Matlab 的炎热和雨季具有很强的季节性。肠产毒性大肠杆菌(ETEC)腹泻在达卡(夏季)具有明确的季节性。了解此类病原体的季节性可以改善适当治疗的病例管理,使决策者能够确定疾病负担高的时期。