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二氧化氮与死亡率:长时研究的综述与荟萃分析。

Nitrogen dioxide and mortality: review and meta-analysis of long-term studies.

机构信息

Dept of Epidemiology, Regional Health Service, Lazio Region, Rome, Italy

Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland.

出版信息

Eur Respir J. 2014 Sep;44(3):744-53. doi: 10.1183/09031936.00114713. Epub 2014 Feb 20.

Abstract

Exposure to ambient nitrogen dioxide (NO2) has been linked to increased mortality in several epidemiological studies but the question remains of whether NO2 is directly responsible for the health effects or is only an indicator of other pollutants, including particulate matter. The aim of the present review was to provide pooled estimates of the long-term effects of NO2 on mortality, which are potentially useful for health impact assessment. We selected 23 papers, published from 2004 to 2013, evaluating the relationship between NO2 and mortality, also including an assessment of the effect of particulate matter exposure. A random-effects meta-analysis was carried out on 19 studies. The pooled effect on mortality was 1.04 (95% CI 1.02-1.06) with an increase of 10 μg · m(-3) in the annual NO2 concentration and 1.05 (95% CI 1.01-1.09) for particulate matter <2.5 μm in diameter (PM2.5) (10 μg · m(-3)). The effect on cardiovascular mortality was 1.13 (95% CI 1.09-1.18) for NO2 and 1.20 (95% CI 1.09-1.31) for PM2.5. The NO2 effect on respiratory mortality was 1.03 (95% CI 1.02-1.03) and 1.05 (95% CI 1.01-1.09) for PM2.5. Four bipollutant analyses with particulate matter and NO2 in the same models showed minimal changes in the effect estimates of NO2. There is evidence of a long-term effect of NO2 on mortality as great as that of PM2.5. An independent effect of NO2 emerged from multipollutant models.

摘要

暴露于环境氮氧化物(NO2)与几项流行病学研究中的死亡率增加有关,但仍存在疑问,即 NO2 是否直接导致健康影响,还是仅作为其他污染物(包括颗粒物)的指标。本综述的目的是提供有关 NO2 对死亡率的长期影响的汇总估计值,这些估计值对于健康影响评估可能是有用的。我们选择了 23 篇论文,这些论文发表于 2004 年至 2013 年,评估了 NO2 与死亡率之间的关系,还包括对颗粒物暴露影响的评估。对 19 项研究进行了随机效应荟萃分析。NO2 浓度每年增加 10 μg · m(-3),死亡率增加 1.04(95%CI 1.02-1.06),颗粒物直径<2.5 μm(PM2.5)增加 10 μg · m(-3),死亡率增加 1.05(95%CI 1.01-1.09)。NO2 对心血管死亡率的影响为 1.13(95%CI 1.09-1.18),PM2.5 为 1.20(95%CI 1.09-1.31)。NO2 对呼吸死亡率的影响为 1.03(95%CI 1.02-1.03),PM2.5 为 1.05(95%CI 1.01-1.09)。在相同模型中包含颗粒物和 NO2 的四项双污染物分析显示,NO2 的效应估计值几乎没有变化。有证据表明,NO2 对死亡率的长期影响与 PM2.5 一样大。多污染物模型显示出 NO2 的独立影响。

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