Heuveline Patrick
Patrick Heuveline's research interests center on population dynamics and family change. His current research includes a comparative project on the increasing complexity of childhood family experiences across industrialized countries and the impact of these experiences on child well being. Other projects in the developing world focus on how populations,and families in particular, cope with demographic crises. One current project looks at the demographic "recovery" in Cambodia after the Khmers Rouges. Another project under development will study the impact of the HIV epidemic on the reproductive regimes of high-prevalence populations in Eastern Africa.
Ann Am Acad Pol Soc Sci. 2002 Mar 1;580(1):172-200.
This paper analyzes mortality rates for 3 of the main causes of deaths between the ages of 15 and 34 (motor vehicle injuries, homicide, and suicide) from 1950 to 1996, and across 26 countries. Average sex ratios and age patterns and the trends in age- and sex-standardized mortality rates are analyzed for each cause. Overall, youth violent mortality levels have been remarkably stable since the 1950s. As mortality due to other causes has receded, the contribution of these three causes has increased from 25 to 40 percent between the 1950s and the mid-1970s, and has remained above 40 percent since. Last, a principal component analysis is performed to summarize the variance in age-, sex-, and cause-specific rates over time and across countries. This summary representation of international differences displays regional clusters and emphasizes the "outlying" position of the United States among industrialized nations.
本文分析了1950年至1996年间26个国家15至34岁人群中3种主要死因（机动车伤害、他杀和自杀）的死亡率。分析了每种死因的平均性别比、年龄模式以及年龄和性别标准化死亡率的趋势。总体而言，自20世纪50年代以来，青少年暴力死亡率水平一直相当稳定。随着其他原因导致的死亡率下降，这三种原因的贡献率在20世纪50年代至70年代中期从25%增至40%，此后一直保持在40%以上。最后，进行了主成分分析，以总结不同时间和不同国家在年龄、性别和死因特异性率方面的差异。这种对国际差异的概括性呈现显示出区域集群，并突出了美国在工业化国家中的“外围”地位。
