Menden-Deuer Susanne, Rowlett Julie
Graduate School of Oceanography, University of Rhode Island, , Narragansett, RI, USA.
J R Soc Interface. 2014 Mar 19;11(95):20140031. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2014.0031. Print 2014 Jun 6.
In apparent contradiction to competition theory, the number of known, coexisting plankton species far exceeds their explicable biodiversity-a discrepancy termed the Paradox of the Plankton. We introduce a new game-theoretic model for competing microorganisms in which one player consists of all organisms of one species. The stable points for the population dynamics in our model, known as strategic behaviour distributions (SBDs), are probability distributions of behaviours across all organisms which imply a stable population of the species as a whole. We find that intra-specific variability is the key characteristic that ultimately allows coexistence because the outcomes of competitions between individuals with variable competitive abilities are unpredictable. Our simulations based on the theoretical model show that up to 100 species can coexist for at least 10,000 generations, and that even small population sizes or species with inferior competitive ability can survive when there is intra-specific variability. In nature, this variability can be observed as niche differentiation, variability in environmental and ecological factors, and variability of individual behaviours or physiology. Therefore, previous specific explanations of the paradox are consistent with and provide specific examples of our suggestion that individual variability is the mechanism which solves the paradox.
与竞争理论明显矛盾的是,已知同时存在的浮游生物物种数量远远超过了它们可解释的生物多样性——这种差异被称为浮游生物悖论。我们引入了一种新的博弈论模型来研究竞争的微生物,其中一个参与者由一个物种的所有生物体组成。我们模型中种群动态的稳定点,即战略行为分布(SBDs),是所有生物体行为的概率分布,这意味着整个物种的种群是稳定的。我们发现种内变异性是最终允许共存的关键特征,因为具有可变竞争能力的个体之间竞争的结果是不可预测的。基于理论模型的模拟表明,多达100个物种可以共存至少10000代,并且当存在种内变异性时,即使种群规模较小或竞争能力较差的物种也能生存。在自然界中,这种变异性可以表现为生态位分化、环境和生态因素的变异性以及个体行为或生理的变异性。因此,以前对该悖论的具体解释与我们提出的个体变异性是解决该悖论的机制这一观点一致,并提供了具体例子。