Liao C-M, You S-H, Cheng Y-H
Department of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering,National Taiwan University,Taipei,Taiwan,ROC.
Epidemiol Infect. 2015 Jan;143(1):23-36. doi: 10.1017/S0950268814000430. Epub 2014 Mar 20.
Influenza poses a significant public health burden worldwide. Understanding how and to what extent people would change their behaviour in response to influenza outbreaks is critical for formulating public health policies. We incorporated the information-theoretic framework into a behaviour-influenza (BI) transmission dynamics system in order to understand the effects of individual behavioural change on influenza epidemics. We showed that information transmission of risk perception played a crucial role in the spread of health-seeking behaviour throughout influenza epidemics. Here a network BI model provides a new approach for understanding the risk perception spread and human behavioural change during disease outbreaks. Our study allows simultaneous consideration of epidemiological, psychological, and social factors as predictors of individual perception rates in behaviour-disease transmission systems. We suggest that a monitoring system with precise information on risk perception should be constructed to effectively promote health behaviours in preparation for emerging disease outbreaks.
流感在全球范围内构成了重大的公共卫生负担。了解人们如何以及在多大程度上会因流感爆发而改变其行为,对于制定公共卫生政策至关重要。我们将信息论框架纳入行为-流感(BI)传播动力学系统,以了解个体行为变化对流感流行的影响。我们表明,风险认知的信息传播在整个流感流行期间寻求健康行为的传播中起着关键作用。在此,一个网络BI模型为理解疾病爆发期间的风险认知传播和人类行为变化提供了一种新方法。我们的研究允许同时考虑流行病学、心理学和社会因素,作为行为-疾病传播系统中个体认知率的预测因素。我们建议应构建一个具有精确风险认知信息的监测系统,以有效促进健康行为,为应对新出现的疾病爆发做好准备。