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筛查与治疗在艾滋病毒/艾滋病和结核病合并感染传播动力学中的作用:一项数学研究。

The role of screening and treatment in the transmission dynamics of HIV/AIDS and tuberculosis co-infection: a mathematical study.

作者信息

Kaur Navjot, Ghosh Mini, Bhatia S S

机构信息

School of Mathematics and Computer Applications, Thapar University, Patiala, 147004, Punjab, India,

出版信息

J Biol Phys. 2014 Mar;40(2):139-66. doi: 10.1007/s10867-014-9342-3. Epub 2014 Mar 25.

Abstract

In this paper, we present a deterministic non-linear mathematical model for the transmission dynamics of HIV and TB co-infection and analyze it in the presence of screening and treatment. The equilibria of the model are computed and stability of these equilibria is discussed. The basic reproduction numbers corresponding to both HIV and TB are found and we show that the disease-free equilibrium is stable only when the basic reproduction numbers for both the diseases are less than one. When both the reproduction numbers are greater than one, the co-infection equilibrium point may exist. The co-infection equilibrium is found to be locally stable whenever it exists. The TB-only and HIV-only equilibria are locally asymptotically stable under some restriction on parameters. We present numerical simulation results to support the analytical findings. We observe that screening with proper counseling of HIV infectives results in a significant reduction of the number of individuals progressing to HIV. Additionally, the screening of TB reduces the infection prevalence of TB disease. The results reported in this paper clearly indicate that proper screening and counseling can check the spread of HIV and TB diseases and effective control strategies can be formulated around 'screening with proper counseling'.

摘要

在本文中,我们提出了一个用于描述HIV与结核病合并感染传播动力学的确定性非线性数学模型,并在有筛查和治疗的情况下对其进行分析。计算了该模型的平衡点,并讨论了这些平衡点的稳定性。求出了与HIV和结核病对应的基本再生数,并且我们表明只有当两种疾病的基本再生数都小于1时,无病平衡点才是稳定的。当两个再生数都大于1时,可能存在合并感染平衡点。发现合并感染平衡点在其存在时是局部稳定的。仅结核病和仅HIV的平衡点在参数的某些限制下是局部渐近稳定的。我们给出数值模拟结果以支持分析结果。我们观察到,对HIV感染者进行适当咨询的筛查会显著减少进展为HIV的个体数量。此外,结核病筛查降低了结核病的感染流行率。本文所报告的结果清楚地表明,适当的筛查和咨询可以遏制HIV和结核病的传播,并且可以围绕“适当咨询下的筛查”制定有效的控制策略。

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