a William Jewell College , Liberty , Missouri.
Traffic Inj Prev. 2014;15(5):451-6. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2013.839992.
To determine the association between passenger presence and risk of fatal crash involvement in relation to driver and passenger age and gender, focusing especially on drivers ages 65 and older.
Data on US fatal crashes were obtained for 2002-2009. Using the quasi-induced exposure methodology, logistic regression analysis was used to predict the odds of fatal crash involvement as a function of driver age and gender as well as passenger age and gender.
Overall, risk of fatal crash involvement with passengers was 43 percent lower for drivers ages 65-74 and 38 percent lower for drivers 75 and older. Older drivers' risk of fatal crash involvement was lower with almost all combinations of passenger age and gender; there was no reduction in risk with passengers ages 75 and older. Effects were stronger at nonintersection locations than at intersection locations.
Older drivers' crash risk is lower with almost every combination of passenger age group and gender. It is unclear whether the presence of passengers lowers older driver crash risk or whether safer drivers tend to ride with passengers.
确定乘客存在与致命撞车事故风险之间的关联,重点关注年龄在 65 岁及以上的驾驶员,同时考虑驾驶员和乘客的年龄和性别因素。
本研究获取了 2002 年至 2009 年美国致命撞车事故的数据。采用拟似诱导暴露法,使用逻辑回归分析预测致命撞车事故风险与驾驶员年龄和性别以及乘客年龄和性别之间的函数关系。
总体而言,65-74 岁驾驶员发生致命撞车事故的风险降低了 43%,75 岁及以上驾驶员的风险降低了 38%。老年驾驶员与几乎所有年龄段和性别的乘客组合发生致命撞车事故的风险都较低;而与 75 岁及以上的乘客一起时,风险并未降低。非交叉口位置的效果强于交叉口位置。
老年驾驶员与几乎所有年龄段和性别的乘客组合发生撞车事故的风险都较低。尚不清楚是乘客降低了老年驾驶员的撞车风险,还是更安全的驾驶员更倾向于搭载乘客。