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经济危机是否扩大了城市内部的社会经济不平等对死亡率的影响?以西班牙巴塞罗那为例。

Has the economic crisis widened the intraurban socioeconomic inequalities in mortality? The case of Barcelona, Spain.

机构信息

Research Group on Statistics, Econometrics and Health (GRECS), University of Girona, Girona, Spain CIBER of Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.

Research Group on Statistics, Econometrics and Health (GRECS), University of Girona, Girona, Spain CIBER of Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain Center for Research in Health and Economics (CRES), Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona, Spain.

出版信息

J Epidemiol Community Health. 2016 Feb;70(2):114-24. doi: 10.1136/jech-2013-203447. Epub 2014 Mar 28.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

There is considerable evidence demonstrating socioeconomic inequalities in mortality, some of which focuses on intraurban inequalities. However, all the studies assume that the spatial variation of inequalities is stable over the time. We challenge this assumption and propose two hypotheses: (i) have spatial variations in socioeconomic inequalities in mortality at an intraurban level changed over time? and (ii) as a result of the economic crisis, has the gap between such disparities widened? In this paper, our objective is to assess the effect of the economic recession on the spatio-temporal variation of socioeconomic inequalities in mortality in Barcelona (Catalonia, Spain).

METHODS

We used a spatio-temporal ecological design to analyse mortality inequalities at small area level in Barcelona. Mortality data and socioeconomic indicators correspond to the years 2005 and 2008-2011. We specified spatio-temporal ecological mixed regressions for both men and women using two indicators, neighbourhood and year. We allowed the coefficients of the socioeconomic variables to differ according to the levels and explicitly took into account spatio-temporal adjustment.

RESULTS

For men and women both absolute and, above all, relative risks for mortality have increased since 2009. In relative terms, this means that the risk of dying has increased much more in the most economically deprived neighbourhoods than in the more affluent ones.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the geographical pattern in relative risks for mortality in neighbourhoods in Barcelona remained very stable between 2005 and 2011, socioeconomic inequalities in mortality at an intraurban level have surged since 2009.

摘要

背景

有大量证据表明,在死亡率方面存在社会经济不平等现象,其中一些研究集中在城市内部不平等上。然而,所有这些研究都假设不平等的空间变化在时间上是稳定的。我们对这一假设提出质疑,并提出两个假设:(i)城市内部死亡率的社会经济不平等的空间变化是否随时间而变化?(ii)由于经济危机,这些差异之间的差距是否扩大?本文的目的是评估经济衰退对巴塞罗那(西班牙加泰罗尼亚)死亡率的社会经济不平等的时空变化的影响。

方法

我们使用时空生态设计来分析巴塞罗那小区域的死亡率不平等。死亡率数据和社会经济指标对应于 2005 年和 2008-2011 年。我们使用两个指标,邻里和年份,为男性和女性指定时空生态混合回归。我们允许社会经济变量的系数根据水平而有所不同,并明确考虑了时空调整。

结果

对于男性和女性,死亡率的绝对和相对风险都自 2009 年以来有所增加。相对而言,这意味着在经济最贫困的邻里,死亡风险比在较富裕的邻里增加得更多。

结论

尽管巴塞罗那邻里的相对死亡率的地理模式在 2005 年至 2011 年间保持非常稳定,但城市内部的死亡率的社会经济不平等自 2009 年以来大幅增加。

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