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英国泥炭地修复:一些经济算法。

UK peatland restoration: some economic arithmetic.

机构信息

Pareto Consulting, 29 Redford Avenue, Edinburgh EH13 0BX, UK.

SRUC, King's Buildings, West Mains Road, Edinburgh EH9 3JG, UK.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2014 Jun 15;484:114-20. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2014.03.033. Epub 2014 Mar 29.

Abstract

Over 80% of UK peatlands are degraded to some extent and their widespread restoration could contribute to meeting various climate change, water quality and biodiversity policy challenges. Economic analysis of costs and benefits is, however, hampered by scientific uncertainty and a lack of data on biophysical conditions as well as the impacts and costs of restoration. This paper presents a simple 'ready-reckoner' of possible net economic benefits under different combinations of simplifying 'what if?' assumptions for key restoration parameters. The results strongly suggest that even a narrow focus on carbon benefits alone is sufficient to justify restoration in many cases, and the inclusion of possible additional non-carbon benefits reinforces this. However, results are sensitive to assumptions and better data for, in particular, restoration costs associated with modest emission savings from lightly degraded sites would be helpful. Some other areas for further research are also identified.

摘要

超过 80%的英国泥炭地在某种程度上已经退化,广泛的修复工作将有助于应对气候变化、水质和生物多样性政策方面的各种挑战。然而,由于科学不确定性以及缺乏有关生物物理条件以及修复的影响和成本的数据,对成本和收益的经济分析受到了阻碍。本文提出了一种简单的“快速估算器”,可根据主要修复参数的简化“假设情况”的不同组合,计算出可能的净经济收益。结果强烈表明,即使仅关注碳收益,在许多情况下也足以证明修复是合理的,而可能的其他非碳收益的纳入则进一步加强了这一点。但是,结果对假设和更好的数据很敏感,特别是与轻度退化地区的适度减排相关的修复成本数据。还确定了其他一些需要进一步研究的领域。

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