Pagani Marco, Leonardi Matilde, Covelli Venusia, Giovannetti Ambra Mara, Sattin Davide
Neurology, Public Health and Disability Unit, Neurological Institute Carlo Besta IRCCS Foundation, Via Celoria 11, 20133, Milan, Italy,
J Neurol. 2014 Jun;261(6):1144-52. doi: 10.1007/s00415-014-7309-8. Epub 2014 Mar 22.
A significant proportion of patients who survive traumatic or nontraumatic severe acquired brain injuries experiences disorders of consciousness. The vegetative state and the minimally conscious state may have different prognoses, and while some patients regain awareness, others have negative outcomes and die. The aim of this work is to identify age-related, medical and behavioural risk factors for mortality in those patients. Participants were enrolled from June 2009 to March 2012 in 107 Italian health care institutions. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were adopted to screen and test candidate risk factors. The study enrolled 600 subjects in vegetative and minimally conscious states for an overall mortality rate of 180.1 per 1,000 person-years. The following traits were associated with a significantly lower chance of survival: age at the acute event higher than 51 years, disease duration less than 1 year, post-anoxic aetiology, absence of visual fixation, and the presence of endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic diseases, and immunity disorders. Clinical history, behavioural assessment, and age-related factors provide important prognostic information on negative outcomes that helps clinicians and researchers to predict patients who are at higher risk of mortality. This knowledge has important clinical, managerial, and ethical implications.
在创伤性或非创伤性严重获得性脑损伤中存活下来的相当一部分患者会出现意识障碍。植物状态和微意识状态可能有不同的预后,虽然一些患者恢复了意识,但另一些患者则预后不良并死亡。这项工作的目的是确定这些患者死亡的年龄相关、医学和行为风险因素。研究对象于2009年6月至2012年3月在意大利的107家医疗机构招募。采用单变量和多变量Cox比例风险模型筛选和测试候选风险因素。该研究纳入了600名处于植物状态和微意识状态的受试者,总死亡率为每1000人年180.1例。以下特征与显著较低的存活几率相关:急性事件发生时年龄高于51岁、病程少于1年、缺氧后病因、无视觉注视、存在内分泌、营养和代谢疾病以及免疫障碍。临床病史、行为评估和年龄相关因素为不良预后提供了重要的预后信息,有助于临床医生和研究人员预测死亡风险较高的患者。这一知识具有重要的临床、管理和伦理意义。