Grimston Malcolm, Nuttall William J, Vaughan Geoff
Imperial College Centre for Energy Policy and Technology, 14 Princes Gardens, London SW7 2AZ, UK.
J Radiol Prot. 2014 Jun;34(2):R1-24. doi: 10.1088/0952-4746/34/2/R1. Epub 2014 Apr 14.
Choosing a suitable site for a nuclear power station requires the consideration and balancing of several factors. Some 'physical' site characteristics, such as the local climate and the potential for seismic activity, will be generic to all reactors designs, while others, such as the availability of cooling water, the area of land required and geological conditions capable of sustaining the weight of the reactor and other buildings will to an extent be dependent on the particular design of reactor chosen (or alternatively the reactor design chosen may to an extent be dependent on the characteristics of an available site). However, one particularly interesting tension is a human and demographic one. On the one hand it is beneficial to place nuclear stations close to centres of population, to reduce transmission losses and other costs (including to the local environment) of transporting electricity over large distances from generator to consumer. On the other it is advantageous to place nuclear stations some distance away from such population centres in order to minimise the potential human consequences of a major release of radioactive materials in the (extremely unlikely) event of a major nuclear accident, not only in terms of direct exposure but also concerning the management of emergency planning, notably evacuation.This paper considers the emergence of policies aimed at managing this tension in the UK. In the first phase of nuclear development (roughly speaking 1945-1965) there was a highly cautious attitude, with installations being placed in remote rural locations with very low population density. The second phase (1965-1985) saw a more relaxed approach, allowing the development of AGR nuclear power stations (which with concrete pressure vessels were regarded as significantly safer) closer to population centres (in 'semi-urban' locations, notably at Hartlepool and Heysham). In the third phase (1985-2005) there was very little new nuclear development, Sizewell B (the first and so far only PWR power reactor in the UK) being colocated with an early Magnox station on the rural Suffolk coast. Renewed interest in nuclear new build from 2005 onward led to a number of sites being identified for new reactors before 2025, all having previously hosted nuclear stations and including the semi-urban locations of the 1960s and 1970s. Finally, some speculative comments are made as to what a 'fifth phase' starting in 2025 might look like.
选择合适的核电站选址需要考虑并权衡多个因素。一些“物理”选址特征,如当地气候和地震活动可能性,对所有反应堆设计来说都是通用的,而其他因素,如冷却水的可获取性、所需土地面积以及能够承受反应堆及其他建筑物重量的地质条件,在一定程度上则取决于所选反应堆的具体设计(或者说,所选的反应堆设计在一定程度上可能取决于可用选址的特征)。然而,一个特别有趣的矛盾点是人文和人口方面的。一方面,将核电站建在靠近人口中心的地方是有益的,这样可以减少输电损耗以及将电力从发电站远距离输送到消费者手中的其他成本(包括对当地环境的成本)。另一方面,将核电站建在离这些人口中心有一定距离的地方则更有利,以便在(极不可能发生的)重大核事故中,将放射性物质大量释放所带来的潜在人员后果降至最低,这不仅涉及直接暴露,还关乎应急规划管理,尤其是疏散。本文探讨了英国旨在应对这一矛盾的政策的演变。在核能发展的第一阶段(大致为1945年至1965年),态度极为谨慎,核电站都建在人口密度极低的偏远农村地区。第二阶段(1965年至1985年)则采取了更为宽松的方式,允许在离人口中心更近的地方(在“半城市”地区,特别是在哈特尔浦和希舍姆)发展AGR核电站(因其混凝土压力容器被认为安全性更高)。在第三阶段(1985年至2005年),几乎没有新的核能开发项目,锡泽韦尔B核电站(英国首个也是迄今为止唯一的压水堆动力反应堆)与一座早期的镁诺克斯型核电站一同建在萨福克郡的农村海岸。2005年起对新建核电站的兴趣再度燃起,导致在2025年前确定了多个新反应堆的选址,所有这些选址之前都曾有过核电站,包括20世纪60年代和70年代的半城市地区。最后,对于始于2025年的“第五阶段”可能会是什么样子,本文给出了一些推测性的看法。