Kehl Sven, Siemer Jörn, Brunnemer Suna, Weiss Christel, Eckert Sven, Schaible Thomas, Sütterlin Marc
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University Medical Center Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Theodor-Kutzer-Ufer 1-3, 68167 Mannheim, Germany.
J Ultrasound Med. 2014 May;33(5):759-67. doi: 10.7863/ultra.33.5.759.
The purpose of this study was to compare different methods for measuring the fetal lung area-to-head circumference ratio and to investigate their prediction of postpartum survival and the need for neonatal extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) therapy in fetuses with isolated congenital diaphragmatic hernias.
This prospective study included 118 fetuses of at least 20 weeks' gestation with isolated left-sided congenital diaphragmatic hernias. The lung-to-head ratio was measured with 3 different methods (longest diameter, anteroposterior diameter, and tracing). To eliminate the influence of gestational age, the observed-to-expected lung-to-head ratio was calculated. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were calculated for the statistical prediction of survival and need for ECMO therapy by the observed-to-expected lung-to-head ratio measured with the different methods.
For survival and ECMO necessity 118 and 102 cases (16 neonates were not eligible for ECMO) were assessed, respectively. For prediction of postpartum survival and ECMO necessity, the areas under the ROC curves and 95% confidence intervals showed very similar results for the 3 methods for prediction of survival (tracing, 0.8445 [0.7553-0.9336]; longest diameter, 0.8248 [0.7360-0.9136]; and anteroposterior diameter, 0.8002 [0.7075-0.8928]) and for ECMO necessity (tracing, 0.7344 [0.6297-0.8391]; longest diameter, 0.7128 [0.6027-0.8228]; and anteroposterior diameter, 0.7212 [0.6142-0.8281]). Comparisons between the areas under the ROC curves showed that the tracing method was superior to the anteroposterior diameter method in predicting postpartum survival (P = .0300).
Lung-to-head ratio and observed-to-expected lung-to-head ratio measurements were shown to accurately predict postnatal survival and the need for ECMO therapy in fetuses with left-sided congenital diaphragmatic hernias. Tracing the limits of the lungs seems to be the favorable method for calculating the fetal lung area.
本研究旨在比较测量胎儿肺面积与头围比值的不同方法,并探讨这些方法对孤立性先天性膈疝胎儿产后生存情况及新生儿体外膜肺氧合(ECMO)治疗需求的预测能力。
这项前瞻性研究纳入了118例妊娠至少20周的孤立性左侧先天性膈疝胎儿。采用3种不同方法(最长径、前后径和描记法)测量肺头比。为消除孕周的影响,计算观察到的与预期的肺头比。通过不同方法测量的观察到的与预期的肺头比,计算受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线,以对生存情况和ECMO治疗需求进行统计学预测。
分别对118例生存情况和102例ECMO必要性情况(16例新生儿不符合ECMO治疗条件)进行了评估。对于产后生存和ECMO必要性的预测,3种预测生存的方法(描记法,0.8445 [0.7553 - 0.9336];最长径法,0.8248 [0.7360 - 0.9136];前后径法,0.8002 [0.7075 - 0.8928])以及预测ECMO必要性的方法(描记法,0.7344 [0.6297 - 0.8391];最长径法,0.7128 [0.6027 - 0.8228];前后径法,0.7212 [0.6142 - 0.8281])的ROC曲线下面积及95%置信区间显示出非常相似的结果。ROC曲线下面积的比较表明,在预测产后生存方面,描记法优于前后径法(P = 0.0300)。
肺头比及观察到的与预期的肺头比测量结果显示能够准确预测左侧先天性膈疝胎儿的出生后生存情况及ECMO治疗需求。描绘肺的边界似乎是计算胎儿肺面积的有利方法。