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风险下的决策:整合生物学、经济学和心理学的观点

Decision-Making Under Risk: Integrating Perspectives From Biology, Economics, and Psychology.

作者信息

Mishra Sandeep

机构信息

University of Regina, Regina, Saskatchewan, Canada

出版信息

Pers Soc Psychol Rev. 2014 Aug;18(3):280-307. doi: 10.1177/1088868314530517. Epub 2014 Apr 25.

Abstract

Decision-making under risk has been variably characterized and examined in many different disciplines. However, interdisciplinary integration has not been forthcoming. Classic theories of decision-making have not been amply revised in light of greater empirical data on actual patterns of decision-making behavior. Furthermore, the meta-theoretical framework of evolution by natural selection has been largely ignored in theories of decision-making under risk in the human behavioral sciences. In this review, I critically examine four of the most influential theories of decision-making from economics, psychology, and biology: expected utility theory, prospect theory, risk-sensitivity theory, and heuristic approaches. I focus especially on risk-sensitivity theory, which offers a framework for understanding decision-making under risk that explicitly involves evolutionary considerations. I also review robust empirical evidence for individual differences and environmental/situational factors that predict actual risky decision-making that any general theory must account for. Finally, I offer steps toward integrating various theoretical perspectives and empirical findings on risky decision-making.

摘要

在许多不同学科中,风险下的决策已得到不同的描述和研究。然而,跨学科整合尚未实现。鉴于有关决策行为实际模式的更多实证数据,经典决策理论并未得到充分修订。此外,人类行为科学中风险下决策理论在很大程度上忽略了自然选择进化的元理论框架。在本综述中,我批判性地审视了经济学、心理学和生物学中最具影响力的四种决策理论:期望效用理论、前景理论、风险敏感性理论和启发式方法。我特别关注风险敏感性理论,它提供了一个理解风险下决策的框架,明确涉及进化考量。我还回顾了关于个体差异以及预测实际风险决策的环境/情境因素的有力实证证据,任何通用理论都必须考虑这些因素。最后,我提出了整合关于风险决策的各种理论观点和实证发现的步骤。

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