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种群持久性中的共振现象:同一理论能否指导国家安全政策和个性化医疗?

The resonance phenomenon in population persistence: can the same theory guide both national security policies and personalized medicine?

作者信息

Agur Zvia

机构信息

Zvia Agur,

出版信息

Croat Med J. 2014 Apr;55(2):93-102. doi: 10.3325/cmj.2014.55.93.

Abstract

The theory of resonance in population persistence proposes that the survival of a population that is exposed to externally inflicted loss processes (disturbances) during part of its life cycle is dependent on the relation between the average period of the disturbances and the average generation time of the population. This suggests that the size of a population can be controlled by manipulating the period between external disturbances. This theory, first formalized in a study of intertidal Red Sea mollusks exposed to periodic storms, has been found to apply to such seemingly disparate phenomena as the spread of a pathogen among susceptible individuals and the response of malignant cancer cells to chemotherapy. The current article provides a brief review of the evolution of the resonance theory into a tool that can be applied to designing vaccination policies - specifically, in preparedness for bio-terrorism attacks - and in personalized medicine. A personalized protocol based on the resonance theory was applied to a cancer patient, stabilizing his tumor progression, relieving his hematopoietic toxicity, and extending his survival.

摘要

种群存续中的共振理论提出,在其生命周期的一部分时间内遭受外部造成的损失过程(干扰)的种群的生存,取决于干扰的平均周期与种群的平均世代时间之间的关系。这表明,可以通过操纵外部干扰之间的间隔来控制种群规模。该理论最初在一项针对遭受周期性风暴的潮间带红海软体动物的研究中被正式提出,现已发现它适用于诸如病原体在易感个体中的传播以及恶性癌细胞对化疗的反应等看似不同的现象。本文简要回顾了共振理论如何演变成一种可用于设计疫苗接种政策的工具——具体而言,用于生物恐怖主义袭击的防范——以及个性化医疗。基于共振理论的个性化方案应用于一名癌症患者,稳定了他的肿瘤进展,缓解了他的造血毒性,并延长了他的生存期。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/777a/4023101/b5a6f0de92c2/CroatMedJ_55_0093-F1.jpg

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