Am J Epidemiol. 2014 Jun 15;179(12):1450-7. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwu090. Epub 2014 May 13.
Each year, almost 1 million people die from suicide, which is among the leading causes of death in young people. We studied how birth order was associated with suicide and other main causes of death. A follow-up study based on the Swedish population register was conducted for sibling groups born from 1932 to 1980 who were observed during the period 1981-2002. Focus was on the within-family variation in suicide risk, meaning that we studied sibling groups that consisted of 2 or more children in which at least 1 died from suicide. These family-fixed effects analyses revealed that each increase in birth order was related to an 18% higher suicide risk (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.14, 1.23, P = 0.000). The association was slightly lower among sibling groups born in 1932-1955 (hazard ratio = 1.13, 95% CI: 1.06, 1.21, P = 0.000) than among those born in 1967-1980 (hazard ratio = 1.24, 95% CI: 0.97, 1.57, P = 0.080). Further analyses suggested that the association between birth order and suicide was only modestly influenced by sex, birth spacing, size of the sibling group, own socioeconomic position, own marital status, and socioeconomic rank within the sibling group. Causes of death other than suicide and other external causes were not associated with birth order.
每年,有近 100 万人死于自杀,这是年轻人的主要死因之一。我们研究了出生顺序与自杀和其他主要死因的关系。这项基于瑞典人口登记的随访研究,针对的是 1932 年至 1980 年出生的兄弟姐妹组,观察时间为 1981 年至 2002 年。研究重点是家庭内自杀风险的变化,也就是说,我们研究了由 2 个或更多孩子组成的兄弟姐妹组,其中至少有 1 人死于自杀。这些家庭固定效应分析显示,出生顺序每增加一次,自杀风险就会增加 18%(95%置信区间:1.14,1.23,P=0.000)。在 1932-1955 年出生的兄弟姐妹组中,这种关联略低(危险比=1.13,95%置信区间:1.06,1.21,P=0.000),而在 1967-1980 年出生的兄弟姐妹组中,这种关联较高(危险比=1.24,95%置信区间:0.97,1.57,P=0.080)。进一步的分析表明,出生顺序与自杀之间的关联,受性别、出生间隔、兄弟姐妹组的大小、自身社会经济地位、自身婚姻状况以及兄弟姐妹组内的社会经济地位影响较小。除自杀和其他外部原因外,其他死因与出生顺序无关。