Bishop Lauren, Barclay Kieron
Department of Public Health Sciences, Stockholm University, 106 91, Stockholm, Sweden.
International Max Planck Research School for Population, Health and Data Science, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, 18057, Rostock, Germany.
SSM Popul Health. 2022 Aug 28;19:101219. doi: 10.1016/j.ssmph.2022.101219. eCollection 2022 Sep.
Higher birth order is associated with increased risks of adverse health outcomes attributable to alcohol or narcotics in adolescence, but it remains unclear whether these observed birth order effects are also present in midlife. Drawing on a national Swedish cohort born in 1953 and their siblings, we estimate associations between birth order and alcohol- or narcotics-attributable hospitalization or death with a 25-year follow-up to assess whether birth order differences are observed during this life course period. Health events attributable to alcohol or narcotics use were identified using the Swedish National Patient and Cause of Death registers, respectively. We apply Cox proportional hazards models to estimate average birth order differences in hazards for alcohol- or narcotics-attributable hospitalization or death between ages 30 and 55. We estimate birth order differences between families, and use two fixed-effects approaches to estimate birth order differences within families and within families of the same type. Bivariate results indicate increased hazards for both outcomes with higher birth order; however, these results are no longer observed after adjustment for familial background characteristics in all models. Our results thereby show limited evidence for birth order differences in midlife. This study highlights that shared factors within the family of origin may be stronger predictors of adverse health outcomes attributable to substance use among siblings during this life course period. Future research should disentangle the contributions of the social environment within the family of origin for adverse health outcomes attributable to alcohol or narcotics among siblings.
较高的出生顺序与青少年期因酒精或麻醉品导致的不良健康后果风险增加有关,但目前尚不清楚这些观察到的出生顺序效应在中年期是否也存在。利用1953年出生的瑞典全国队列及其兄弟姐妹,我们估计出生顺序与因酒精或麻醉品导致的住院或死亡之间的关联,并进行了25年的随访,以评估在这一生命历程阶段是否存在出生顺序差异。分别使用瑞典国家患者登记册和死亡原因登记册来确定因使用酒精或麻醉品导致的健康事件。我们应用Cox比例风险模型来估计30至55岁之间因酒精或麻醉品导致的住院或死亡风险中的平均出生顺序差异。我们估计家庭之间的出生顺序差异,并使用两种固定效应方法来估计家庭内部以及同一类型家庭内部的出生顺序差异。双变量结果表明,出生顺序越高,两种结果的风险都增加;然而,在所有模型中对家庭背景特征进行调整后,这些结果不再明显。因此,我们的结果显示中年期出生顺序差异的证据有限。这项研究强调,在这一生命历程阶段,原生家庭中的共同因素可能是兄弟姐妹中因物质使用导致的不良健康后果的更强预测因素。未来的研究应该厘清原生家庭社会环境对兄弟姐妹中因酒精或麻醉品导致的不良健康后果的影响。