Farrington D P
Institute of Criminology, Cambridge University, England.
Violence Vict. 1989 Summer;4(2):79-100.
The Cambridge Study in Delinquent Development is a prospective longitudinal survey of 411 London males from ages 8 years old to 32 years old. This article investigates the prediction of adolescent aggression (ages 12-14 years old), teenage violence (ages 16-18 years old), adult violence (age 32 years old), and convictions for violence. Generally, the best predictors were measures of economic deprivation, family criminality, poor child-rearing, school failure, hyperactivity-impulsivity-attention deficit, and antisocial child behavior. Similar predictors applied to all four measures of aggression and violence. It is concluded that aggression and violence are elements of a more general antisocial tendency, and that the predictors of aggression and violence are similar to the predictors of antisocial and criminal behavior in general.
《剑桥青少年犯罪发展研究》是一项针对411名伦敦男性从8岁到32岁的前瞻性纵向调查。本文调查了青少年攻击行为(12 - 14岁)、青少年暴力行为(16 - 18岁)、成人暴力行为(32岁)以及暴力犯罪的预测因素。一般来说,最佳预测因素包括经济贫困、家庭犯罪、不良育儿方式、学业失败、多动 - 冲动 - 注意力缺陷以及反社会儿童行为等指标。类似的预测因素适用于攻击和暴力行为的所有四项测量指标。研究得出结论,攻击和暴力是更普遍的反社会倾向的组成部分,而且攻击和暴力行为的预测因素与一般反社会和犯罪行为的预测因素相似。