Ghiasvand Reza, Adami Hans-Olov, Harirchi Iraj, Akrami Rahim, Zendehdel Kazem
Cancer Research Center, Cancer Institute of Iran, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
BMC Cancer. 2014 May 19;14:343. doi: 10.1186/1471-2407-14-343.
Fundamental etiologic differences have been suggested to cause earlier onset of breast cancer in less developed countries (LDCs) than in more developed countries (MDCs). We explored this hypothesis using world-wide breast cancer incidence data.
We compared international age-standardized incidence rates (ASR) of pre- (<50 years) and postmenopausal (≥50 years) breast cancers as well as temporal trends in ASRs of pre-and postmenopausal breast cancer among selected countries during 1975-2008. We used joinpoint log-linear regression analysis to estimate annual percent changes (APC) for premenopausal and postmenopausal breast cancer in the northern Europe and in Black and White women population in the US.
Premenopausal breast cancers comprised a substantially higher proportion of all incident breast cancers in LDCs (average 47.3%) compared to MDCs (average 18.5%). However, the ASR of premenopausal breast cancer was consistently higher in MDCs (29.4/100,000) than LDCs (12.8/100,000). The ASR of postmenopausal cancer was about five-fold higher in the MDCs (307.6/100,000) than the LDCs (65.4/100,000). The APC of breast cancer in Denmark was substantially higher in postmenopausal (1.33%) than premenopausal cancer (0.98%). Higher incidence of breast cancer among the white than black women in the US was pertained only to the postmenopausal cancer.
The substantial and consistent lower age-specific incidence of breast cancer in LDCs than in MDCs contradicts the theory of earlier onset. Demographic differences with fewer old women in LDCs and lower prevalence of risk factors of postmenopausal cancer are the most likely explanation to the lower mean age at diagnosis in these countries.
有观点认为,与较发达国家(MDCs)相比,欠发达国家(LDCs)乳腺癌发病更早存在根本的病因差异。我们利用全球乳腺癌发病率数据对这一假设进行了探究。
我们比较了1975 - 2008年期间选定国家绝经前(<50岁)和绝经后(≥50岁)乳腺癌的国际年龄标准化发病率(ASR),以及绝经前和绝经后乳腺癌ASR的时间趋势。我们使用连接点对数线性回归分析来估计北欧绝经前和绝经后乳腺癌以及美国黑人和白人女性人群的年变化百分比(APC)。
与MDCs(平均18.5%)相比,LDCs中绝经前乳腺癌在所有新发乳腺癌中所占比例显著更高(平均47.3%)。然而,MDCs中绝经前乳腺癌的ASR(29.4/10万)始终高于LDCs(12.8/10万)。MDCs中绝经后癌症的ASR(307.6/10万)比LDCs(65.4/10万)高出约五倍。丹麦绝经后乳腺癌(APC为1.33%)的APC显著高于绝经前癌症(0.98%)。美国白人女性乳腺癌发病率高于黑人女性仅体现在绝经后癌症方面。
LDCs中乳腺癌年龄别发病率显著且持续低于MDCs,这与发病更早的理论相矛盾。LDCs老年女性较少以及绝经后癌症危险因素患病率较低的人口统计学差异,最有可能解释了这些国家乳腺癌诊断平均年龄较低的原因。