Orces Carlos H, Alamgir Hasanat
Department of Medicine, Laredo Medical Center, Laredo, Texas, USA.
University of Texas Health Science Center, School of Public Health, San Antonio, Texas, USA.
Inj Prev. 2014 Dec;20(6):421-3. doi: 10.1136/injuryprev-2014-041268. Epub 2014 Jun 10.
To examine national trends in fall-related injuries among older adults treated in emergency departments (ED) and project these injuries until the year 2030. The Web-based Injury Statistics Query and Reporting System was used to generate data on fall-related injuries treated in ED. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to examine the average annual change in injury rates over time. Fall-related injury and hospitalisation rates increased on average by 2% (95% CI 1.5% to 2.7%) and by 4% (95% CI 2.9% to 5.0%) per year, respectively. Assuming the increase in fall-related injury rates remains unchanged, the number of fall-related injuries may increase to 5.7 million by the year 2030. Fall-related injuries among older adults treated in ED increased in the USA during the study period. Moreover, a marked increase in the number of these injuries may occur over the next decades.
研究急诊科（ED）收治的老年人中与跌倒相关损伤的全国趋势，并预测这些损伤到2030年的情况。基于网络的伤害统计查询与报告系统用于生成急诊科治疗的与跌倒相关损伤的数据。采用Joinpoint回归分析来研究损伤率随时间的年均变化。与跌倒相关的损伤率和住院率分别平均每年增加2%（95%可信区间1.5%至2.7%）和4%（95%可信区间2.9%至5.0%）。假设与跌倒相关的损伤率增长保持不变，到2030年，与跌倒相关的损伤数量可能增至570万。在研究期间，美国急诊科收治的老年人中与跌倒相关的损伤有所增加。此外，在未来几十年中，这些损伤的数量可能会显著增加。
