Britton J R
Respiratory Medicine Unit, City Hospital, Nottingham.
BMJ. 1989 Feb 25;298(6672):483-7. doi: 10.1136/bmj.298.6672.483.
To determine the time trend in age at death from cystic fibrosis and the independent effects of social class, sex, and region of residence mortality data for England and Wales from 1959 to 1986 were analysed. Median age at death increased from 6 months in 1959 to 17 years in 1986 and was higher in most years from 1970 in male patients (by one to six years) and in social classes with non-manual occupations (by one to 12 years). Independent odds ratios for death above the median age for the year of death (calculated for years from 1974, when regions of residence were coded by regional health authority area) were 1.47 (95% confidence interval 1.16 to 1.87) in male compared with female patients and 2.75 (2.16 to 3.52) in non-manual compared with manual social classes. The independent odds of death at above the median age also varied significantly among regions of residence by a ratio of up to 2.67. Social class, sex, and region of residence are all potential determinants of survival of patients with cystic fibrosis. Social class is particularly likely to confound the effect of management in specialist centres on survival.
为了确定囊性纤维化患者的死亡年龄变化趋势以及社会阶层、性别和居住地区对死亡率的独立影响,我们分析了1959年至1986年英格兰和威尔士的死亡率数据。死亡年龄中位数从1959年的6个月增加到1986年的17岁,在1970年之后的大多数年份里,男性患者(高出1至6岁)以及从事非体力职业的社会阶层(高出1至12岁)的死亡年龄中位数更高。以死亡年份的年龄中位数为标准,计算高于该年龄死亡的独立比值比(从1974年开始计算,当时居住地区按地区卫生当局区域编码),男性患者与女性患者相比为1.47(95%置信区间1.16至1.87),非体力社会阶层与体力社会阶层相比为2.75(2.16至3.52)。居住地区之间高于年龄中位数死亡的独立比值比也有显著差异,最高可达2.67。社会阶层、性别和居住地区都是囊性纤维化患者生存的潜在决定因素。社会阶层尤其可能混淆专科中心的治疗对生存的影响。