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仅用急性生理与慢性健康状况评分系统II(APACHE II)作为接受全胃肠外营养患者死亡率的预测指标并不准确。

Failure of APACHE II alone as a predictor of mortality in patients receiving total parenteral nutrition.

作者信息

Hopefl A W, Taaffe C L, Herrmann V M

机构信息

Department of Internal Medicine, St. Louis University School of Medicine, MO.

出版信息

Crit Care Med. 1989 May;17(5):414-7. doi: 10.1097/00003246-198905000-00007.

Abstract

We followed prospectively over 5 months all medical and surgical ICU patients placed on total parenteral nutrition (TPN) and recorded their Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) scores on the day of admission, on the day TPN was started, length of time in ICU before TPN was started, and the number of days TPN was administered. Sixty-one patients (15 to 82 yr) had an inhospital mortality of 47%. The APACHE II score was significantly higher for nonsurvivors vs. survivors both on the day of admission (24.4 +/- 9.6 vs. 18.4 +/- 6.5; p less than .003) and also on the day TPN was started (21 +/- 8.6 vs. 16.4 +/- 5.6; p less than .002). However, at a 60% risk of dying, specificity was 96.9% and sensitivity 27.6%. The mean number of days before TPN was started was 3.2 and mean number of days on TPN was 9.2 (p = NS). We conclude that calculation of APACHE II score either on ICU admission or on the day TPN is considered does not seem useful in identifying patients who will not benefit from TPN.

摘要

我们对所有接受全胃肠外营养(TPN)的内科和外科重症监护病房患者进行了为期5个多月的前瞻性跟踪,记录了他们入院当天、开始TPN当天的急性生理与慢性健康状况评分系统II(APACHE II)评分、开始TPN前在重症监护病房的时长以及接受TPN的天数。61例患者(年龄15至82岁)的院内死亡率为47%。在入院当天(24.4±9.6对18.4±6.5;p<0.003)和开始TPN当天(21±8.6对16.4±5.6;p<0.002),非幸存者的APACHE II评分均显著高于幸存者。然而,在死亡风险为60%时,特异性为96.9%,敏感性为27.6%。开始TPN前的平均天数为3.2天,接受TPN的平均天数为9.2天(p=无显著性差异)。我们得出结论,在重症监护病房入院时或考虑开始TPN当天计算APACHE II评分,似乎无助于识别那些无法从TPN中获益的患者。

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